Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 27

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jocay (Manta)

Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Manta		Barcelona Guayaquil

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	1.91	Watch
	3.70	3.10	1.87
	3.7	3.15	1.95	Watch
	4.09	3.32	2.03
	3.81	3.32	2	Watch
	3.8	3.25	2.02
	3.68	3.38	1.99	Watch
	3.65	3.2	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↓ (3.77)	3.25 ↑ (3.07)	1.96 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manta
24.6%

Draw
28.4%

Barcelona Guayaquil
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

30.4%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

30.3%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Barcelona Guayaquil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Manta aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	10%	90%

Manta - Barcelona Guayaquil Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Manta (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Barcelona Guayaquil will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barcelona Guayaquil will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Manta (votes: 1 - 25%). Barcelona (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chavez W. (C) 23. Medina A. 24. Moscarelli O. 70. Nazareno J. 27. Troya J. 21. Ortiz M. 5. Ramirez B. 20. Chala J. 28. Ledesma A. 19. Alman J. 55. Verges J.	1. Contreras J. (G) 26. Castillo B. 33. Baez J. (C) 14. Rangel A. 15. Perlaza J. 32. Lugo M. 28. Quinonez Ruiz J. R. 7. Mendoza E. 23. Martinez T. 51. Wila J. 11. Rodriguez T.
Substitutes
17. Angulo J. 11. Asagidigbi F. 9. Blanco J. 10. Burbano R. 7. Chala W. 6. Jimenez J. 31. Mina G. 14. Mina J. 4. Nazareno J. 52. Rialpe J. 8. Valencia M. 12. Zambrano F. (G)	13. Angulo J. L. (G) 63. Caidedo K. 16. Cano L. 44. Chala Rosales W. J. 8. Diaz S. 50. Garcia J. 17. Gaspar D. 35. Intriago J. 70. Mejia M. 25. Perlaza R. 45. Preciado P. 27. Vargas W.
Coaches
Duarte R.	Trobbiani P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Verges J. ⚽, Troya J. (A),
19', Nazareno J. 🟨,
25', Castillo B. 🟨,
40', Moscarelli O. 🟨,
43', Rodriguez T. 🟨,
43', Medina A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mendoza E. ↓, Cano L. ↑,
46', Perlaza J. ↓, Perlaza R. ↑,
54', Verges J. ↓, Valencia M. ↑,
54', Ledesma A. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
65', Chala J. ↓, Mina G. ↑,
67', Martinez T. ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
67', Castillo B. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
72', 2 - 0, Angulo J. ⚽,
74', Nazareno J. ↓, Rialpe J. ↑,
74', Alman J. ↓, Nazareno J. ↑,
80', Wila J. ↓, Vargas W. ↑,
90+3', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manta won 1.

Manta is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Barcelona has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Barcelona is considered a favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Manta won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 14:29. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Manta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 1:2).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Barcelona SC	30	11	11	8	32:25	7	44

Last Results with these Odds

Barcelona Guayaquil - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.86%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manta FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.08.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Manta	5:1 ✺
15.08.26	Manta - Leones del Norte	0:2 ✺
10.08.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Manta	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Manta - Mushuc Runa	1:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
29.07.26	Independiente del Valle - Manta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLWLL
- Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.08.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Orense	3:0 ✺
15.08.26	Mushuc Runa - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Deportivo Macará	1:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
05.08.26	LDU Portoviejo - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.08.26	Leones del Norte - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.05.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Manta	1:1
14.06.25	Barcelona Guayaquil - Manta	1:2
14.02.25	Manta - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:3
Club Friendly
21.01.25	Manta - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:1
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
25.07.21	Barcelona Guayaquil - Manta	2:0
20.02.21	Manta - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:3
05.11.14	Barcelona Guayaquil - Manta	0:1

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