Match Info

Date: 17 March 2021, Wednesday


	Bari		Casertana

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.6	6.5
	1.5	3.5	6.25	Watch
	1.5	3.55	5.5
	1.5	3.5	6
	1.49	4.11	7
	1.5	3.8	7
	1.48	4.04	6.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 (1.5)	3.73 ↓ (3.92)	6.39 ↓ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bari
61.2%

Draw
24.5%

Casertana
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

23.7%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.7%

19.9%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

The chances for Casertana have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Bari - Casertana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 10 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Recent matches Bari is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Casertana is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Casertana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bari is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bari won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Bari
Italian Serie C Group C
13.03.21	Ternana - Bari	2:1 ✺
07.03.21	Bari - Potenza	0:2 ✺
03.03.21	Juve Stabia - Bari	0:2 ✺
27.02.21	Bari - Foggia	1:0 ✺
21.02.21	Catania - Bari	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWWT
- FC Casertana
Italian Serie C Group C
14.03.21	Casertana - Bisceglie	0:1 ✺
07.03.21	Vibonese - Casertana	1:1 ✺
03.03.21	Casertana - Virtus Francavilla	4:0 ✺
27.02.21	Turris - Casertana	2:1 ✺
21.02.21	Casertana - Avellino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
22.11.20	Casertana - Bari	0:2
15.12.19	Casertana - Bari	0:3

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