Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 8

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadio San Nicola (Bari)

Referee: Camplone G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Italy	Sky Sport


	Bari		Como

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	3.6	Watch
	2.35	2.9	3.3	Watch
	2.44	2.88	3.68
	2.33	2.94	3.42	Watch
	2.35	2.95	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.27)	2.91 ↓ (3.15)	3.47 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bari
40.2%

Draw
32.5%

Como
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

30%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

30.2%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Como has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Como than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.9%	33.3%	27.8%

Bari - Como Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Bari will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Como will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bari: 16.4% – 61.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Brenno (G) 93. Dorval M. 6. Di Cesare V. 23. Vicari F. 99. Frabotta G. 26. Koutsoupias I. 17. Maiello R. 44. Acampora G. 49. Aramu M. 20. Sibilli G. 9. Nasti M.	1. Semper A. (G) 5. Curto M. 26. Odenthal C. 93. Barba F. 84. Cassandro T. 94. Kone B. L. 28. Abildgaard O. 44. Ioannou N. 33. Da Cunha L. 10. Cutrone P. 7. Chajia M.
Substitutes
11. Achik I. 28. Akpa-Chuwuku H. 10. Bellomo N. 8. Benali A. 18. Diaw D. 24. Edjouma M. 1. Farroni A. (G) 4. Maita M. 5. Matino E. 25. Pucino R. 31. Ricci G. 21. Zuzek Z.	21. Arrigoni T. 8. Baselli D. 14. Bellemo A. 11. Blanco A. 9. Gabrielloni A. 20. Kerrigan L. 3. Sala M. 23. Scaglia F. 4. Solini M. 90. Verdi S. 80. Vignali L. 22. Vigorito M. (G)
Coaches
Mignani M.	Longo M.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Recent matches Bari is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Como in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Como could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bari will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bari won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Bari won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Bari
Italian Serie B
27.09.23	Parma - Bari	2:1 ✺
24.09.23	Bari - Catanzaro	2:2 ✺
16.09.23	Pisa - Bari	1:1 ✺
03.09.23	Ternana - Bari	0:0 ✺
30.08.23	Bari - Cittadella	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTTTT
- Calcio Como
Italian Serie B
27.09.23	Como - Sampdoria	1:0 ✺
24.09.23	Cittadella - Como	0:3 ✺
17.09.23	Como - Ternana	2:1 ✺
03.09.23	Spezia - Como	0:1 ✺
26.08.23	Como - Reggiana	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
15.04.23	Bari - Como	2:2
27.11.22	Como - Bari	1:1
16.04.16	Bari - Como	3:0
28.11.15	Como - Bari	1:1

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