Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 7

Date: 27 September 2023, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como)

Referee: Ferrieri Caputi M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Italy	Sky Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Como		Sampdoria

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.3	3.1	Watch
	2.3	3.2	3
	2.35	3.2	3	Watch
	2.42	3.23	3.29
	2.3	3.1	2.7
	2.34	3.22	3.08	Watch
	2.37	3.25	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.77)	3.21 ↑ (3.19)	3.02 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

Watch this match and Italian Serie B with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Soccer Plus

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Current Win Probability

Como
39.8%

Draw
29.1%

Sampdoria
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

29.4%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

29.9%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Como's performance.

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sampdoria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Como that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sampdoria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	22.7%	13.6%

Como - Sampdoria Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Como will win (votes: 14 - 63.6%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Como: 43.5% – 83.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Semper A. (G) 5. Curto M. 26. Odenthal C. 93. Barba F. 6. Iovine A. 14. Bellemo A. (C) 94. Kone B. L. 44. Ioannou N. 10. Cutrone P. 33. Da Cunha L. 90. Verdi S.	1. Stankovic F. (G) 40. Stojanovic P. 87. Ghilardi D. 29. Murru N. 3. Barreca A. 32. Girelli S. 28. Yepes G. 10. Verre V. 7. Esposito Se. 16. Borini F. 11. Pedrola E.
Substitutes
28. Abildgaard O. 21. Arrigoni T. 8. Baselli D. 11. Blanco A. 84. Cassandro T. 7. Chajia M. 9. Gabrielloni A. 20. Kerrigan L. 3. Sala M. 23. Scaglia F. 4. Solini M. 22. Vigorito M. (G)	5. Askildsen K. 77. Delle Monache M. 9. De Luca M. 21. Giordano S. 33. Gonzalez F. 14. Kasami P. 20. La Gumina A. 17. Malagrida L. 22. Ravaglia N. (G) 8. Ricci M. 12. Tantalocchi E. (G) 4. Vieira R.
Coaches
Longo M.	Pirlo A.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).

Como is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sampdoria is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Como won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Como
Italian Serie B
24.09.23	Cittadella - Como	0:3 ✺
17.09.23	Como - Ternana	2:1 ✺
03.09.23	Spezia - Como	0:1 ✺
26.08.23	Como - Reggiana	2:2 ✺
20.08.23	Venezia - Como	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWWTL
- Sampdoria
Italian Serie B
24.09.23	Parma - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
18.09.23	Sampdoria - Cittadella	1:2 ✺
03.09.23	Cremonese - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
30.08.23	Sampdoria - Venezia	1:2 ✺
25.08.23	Sampdoria - Pisa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
24.08.14	Sampdoria - Como	4:1

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