Match Info

Serie B - Round 26

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Euganeo (Padova)

Referee: Collu G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Padova		Bari

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.2	3.8	Watch
	2	3.15	3.75	Watch
	2.37	3.1	3.42
	2	3.23	3.94	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.6
	2.07	3.23	3.84	Watch
	2.33	2.9	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.32)	3.13 ↑ (3.05)	3.68 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Padova
44.4%

Draw
30%

Bari
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

30.3%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

29.1%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.1%	47.1%	5.9%

Padova - Bari Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Padova will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Bari will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 47.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Padova: 23.4% – 70.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Sorrentino A. (G) 4. Belli F. 32. Sgarbi F. 5. Perrotta M. (C) 3. Barreca A. 20. Bortolussi M. 8. Fusi P. 44. Harder J. 77. Di Mariano F. 17. Capelli A. 92. Buonaiuto C.	31. Cerofolini M. (G) 51. Cistana A. 26. Odenthal C. 13. Mantovani V. (C) 28. Piscopo K. 18. Maggiore G. 80. Artioli F. 93. Dorval M. 20. Cavuoti N. 17. Rao E. 11. Moncini G.
Substitutes
24. Caprari G. 6. Crisetig L. 23. Di Maggio L. 72. Faedo C. 14. Fortin M. (G) 86. Giunti G. 15. Lasagna K. 58. Pastina C. 11. Seghetti A. 41. Silva J. 7. Varas K. 55. Villa L.	10. Bellomo N. 27. Braunoder M. 90. Cuni M. 49. De Pieri G. 19. Esteves T. 9. Gytkjaer C. 30. Mane M. 43. Nikolaou D. 8. Pagano R. 1. Pissardo M. (G) 25. Pucino R. 66. Traore D.
Coaches
Andreoletti M.	Longo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Di Mariano F. ⚽, Buonaiuto C. (A),
32', Maggiore G. 🟨,
39', Cistana A. 🟨,
45', Barreca A. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Piscopo K. ⚽, Cavuoti N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Fusi P. 🟨,
56', Piscopo K. 🟨,
63', Capelli A. ↓, Varas K. ↑,
63', Cavuoti N. ↓, De Pieri G. ↑,
69', Buonaiuto C. ↓, Caprari G. ↑,
78', Maggiore G. ↓, Traore D. ↑,
78', Rao E. ↓, Esteves T. ↑,
79', Moncini G. ↓, Cuni M. ↑,
82', Bortolussi M. ↓, Lasagna K. ↑,
82', Fusi P. ↓, Di Maggio L. ↑,
90', Cuni M. 🟨,
90+3', Perrotta M. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Padova won 0.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Padova is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Padova: Bacci J. (Injury) Papu Gomez (Inactive)

There will not play in Bari: Darboe E. (Thigh Injury) Dickmann L. (Inactive) Nikolaou D. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Bari: De Pieri G. (Inactive) Verreth M. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Padova won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 0.7:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Padova won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Padova: 2.45%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Padova	5	2	1	2	5:6	-1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie B
14.02.26	Sampdoria - Padova	1:0 ✺
10.02.26	Padova - Carrarese	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Juve Stabia - Padova	3:3 ✺
01.02.26	Padova - Monza	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Padova	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWTLL
- AS Bari
Italian Serie B
15.02.26	Bari - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Bari - Spezia	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Mantova - Bari	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	Bari - Palermo	0:3 ✺
24.01.26	Cesena - Bari	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
04.10.25	Bari - Padova	2:1
Coppa Italia
31.07.22	Bari - Padova	3:0
Italian Serie B
26.04.14	Padova - Bari	1:2
23.11.13	Bari - Padova	2:2
19.03.13	Bari - Padova	3:0
27.10.12	Padova - Bari	1:1
31.01.12	Bari - Padova	N/A

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