Match Info

Serie B - Round 26

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia)

Referee: Tremolada P. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Reggiana		Avellino

	1	X	2
	2.32	2.82	3.4	Watch
	2.6	3	2.8
	2.35	2.88	3.25	Watch
	2.87	2.98	3.05
	2.34	3.03	3.27	Watch
	2.4	2.9	3
	2.4	2.9	3.43	Watch
	2.9	2.66	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.65)	2.9 ↑ (2.73)	3.14 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reggiana
37.4%

Draw
32.6%

Avellino
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

34.2%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

31.1%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reggiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Reggiana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	28.6%	7.1%

Reggiana - Avellino Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Reggiana will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Avellino will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reggiana: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Avellino (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Avellino (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Micai A. (G) 2. Papetti A. 4. Rozzio P. (C) 43. Bonetti S. 23. Rover M. 8. Charlys 16. Reinhart T. 90. Portanova M. 3. Bozzolan A. 9. Novakovich A. 80. Girma N.	30. Daffara G. (G) 56. Enrici P. 44. Simic L. 19. Reale F. 2. Missori F. 20. Palumbo M. 6. Palmiero L. (C) 24. Sounas D. 3. Sala M. 18. Sgarbi L. 14. Biasci T.
Substitutes
57. Belardinelli L. 45. Cardinali M. (G) 77. Fumagalli T. 93. Lambourde M. 17. Libutti L. 47. Mateus Lusuardi 44. Mendicino L. 66. Pinelli P. 14. Quaranta D. 33. Tripaldelli A. 6. Vallarelli F. 34. Vicari F.	39. Besaggio M. 29. Cancellotti T. 63. Fontanarosa A. 1. Iannarilli A. (G) 94. Insigne R. 16. Kumi J. 27. Le Borgne A. 78. Milani A. 8. Pandolfi L. 9. Patierno C. 10. Russo R. 7. Tutino G.
Coaches
Rubinacci L.	Ballardini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Portanova M. ⚽,
22', Portanova M. 🟨,
29', 1 - 1, Enrici P. ⚽,
32', Sounas D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bozzolan A. ↓, Tripaldelli A. ↑,
46', Sgarbi L. ↓, Tutino G. ↑,
50', Charlys 🟨,
62', Charlys ↓, Belardinelli L. ↑,
68', Biasci T. ↓, Patierno C. ↑,
78', Portanova M. ↓, Mendicino L. ↑,
78', Rover M. ↓, Libutti L. ↑,
82', Sala M. ↓, Milani A. ↑,
82', Palumbo M. ↓, Besaggio M. ↑,
86', Reale F. ↓, Cancellotti T. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 14)

Reggiana has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Avellino's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Avellino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Reggiana: Bertagnoli M. (Inactive) Mateus Lusuardi (Injury) Paz Y. (Knee Injury) Sampirisi M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Avellino: Favilli A. (Tendon Injury) Izzo A. (Muscle Injury) Kumi J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Reggiana: Tripaldelli A. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Reggiana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Avellino	6	3	1	2	11:7	4	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie B
15.02.26	Empoli - Reggiana	1:1 ✺
10.02.26	Reggiana - Mantova	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Catanzaro - Reggiana	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Reggiana - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Frosinone - Reggiana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWLTL
- US Avellino
Italian Serie B
15.02.26	Avellino - Pescara	0:1 ✺
11.02.26	Avellino - Frosinone	1:3 ✺
08.02.26	Monza - Avellino	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Avellino - Cesena	3:1 ✺
24.01.26	Spezia - Avellino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
01.11.25	Avellino - Reggiana	4:3

Reggiana - Avellino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide