Match Info

Date: 6 January 2021, Wednesday


	Barnechea		Ñublense

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.05
	3.45	3.35	1.92
	3.75	3.38	2
	3.2	3.3	2.05
	3.32	3.62	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (3.19)	3.37 ↑ (3.29)	2.01 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnechea
27.1%

Draw
27.2%

Ñublense
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

28%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

18.7%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnechea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnechea than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barnechea, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (-16.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ñublense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Barnechea - Ñublense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion to Primera Division).

Recent matches Barnechea is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ñublense is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barnechea could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

Ñublense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Barnechea won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Barnechea won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnechea
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
29.12.20	San Marcos de Arica - Barnechea	1:0 ✺
23.12.20	Barnechea - San Luis	2:0 ✺
19.12.20	Deportes Copiapó - Barnechea	2:2 ✺
10.12.20	Deportes Valdivia - Barnechea	1:1 ✺
04.12.20	Unión San Felipe - Barnechea	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWTTL
- Deportivo Ñublense
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
02.01.21	Ñublense - Deportes Temuco	1:2 ✺
30.12.20	Santiago Morning - Ñublense	2:1 ✺
27.12.20	Deportes Santa Cruz - Ñublense	1:3 ✺
06.12.20	Cobreloa - Ñublense	4:2
27.11.20	Deportes Valdivia - Ñublense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
12.10.20	Ñublense - Barnechea	1:0
31.05.19	Barnechea - Ñublense	1:2
23.09.18	Ñublense - Barnechea	0:1
23.02.18	Barnechea - Ñublense	0:1
20.10.17	Barnechea - Ñublense	1:1
30.01.16	Ñublense - Barnechea	3:2
16.08.15	Barnechea - Ñublense	0:0

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