Match Info

League Two - Round 33

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: The Hive Stadium (London)

Referee: Hicks C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	Barnet		Swindon Town

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.75	4.33	Watch
	1.72	3.95	4.25	Watch
	1.79	3.95	4.42
	1.79	3.64	4.26	Watch
	1.73	3.6	4.2
	1.75	3.75	4.33	Watch
	1.73	3.75	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.91)	3.77 ↑ (3.48)	4.33 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnet
53.6%

Draw
24.8%

Swindon Town
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

26.4%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

25.7%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barnet's performance.

Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	13.3%	33.3%

Barnet - Swindon Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Barnet will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Swindon will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barnet: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Barnet (votes: 1 - 50%). Swindon (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Slicker C. (G) 4. Collinge D. 30. Kizzi J. 25. Tavares N. 5. Senior A. 18. Hartigan A. (C) 28. Ofoborh N. 15. Glover R. 19. Shelton M. 11. Kanu I. 20. Tshimanga K.	1. Ripley C. (G) 19. Snowdon J. 5. Wright W. 22. Knight-Lebel J. 26. Batty J. 18. Kilkenny G. 24. Holman F. 8. Clarke O. (C) 25. Borland A. 30. Hoilett J. 23. Drinan A.
Substitutes
27. Assombalonga B. 22. Chinedu P. 13. Evans O. (G) 12. Hawkins O. 17. Howland J. 23. Smith K. 16. Winterburn B.	34. Kirkman B. 3. Mabete F. 7. Nichols T. 29. Olakigbe M. 28. Palmer O. 21. Scanlon J. 12. Ward L. (G)
Coaches
Brennan D.	Holloway I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Senior A. ⚽, Shelton M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 1 - 1, Clarke O. ⚽,
55', Batty J. ↓, Olakigbe M. ↑,
63', 1 - 2, Clarke O. ⚽, Holman F. (A),
64', Tshimanga K. ↓, Hawkins O. ↑,
68', Hoilett J. ↓, Palmer O. ↑,
68', Borland A. ↓, Nichols T. ↑,
69', Kanu I. ↓, Howland J. ↑,
69', Hartigan A. ↓, Winterburn B. ↑,
81', Kizzi J. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
81', Shelton M. ↓, Assombalonga B. ↑,
84', Winterburn B. 🟨,
87', Holman F. ↓, Kirkman B. ↑,
87', Wright W. ↓, Mabete F. ↑,
90+6', Snowdon J. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 3.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Barnet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Barnet is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D. (Inactive) Glatzel P. (Inactive) Knight-Lebel J. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury) Smith H. (Knee Injury) Tafazolli R. (Injury) Wilson-Brown T. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Barnet: Osadebe E. (Inactive) Stead C. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Swindon: Bodin B. (Inactive)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.2:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Barnet won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Barnet: 21.27% Swindon: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Barnet	8	5	3	0	20:11	9	18
17	Swindon	10	3	2	5	9:14	-5	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnet
English League Two
14.02.26	Barnet - Cheltenham Town	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Walsall - Barnet	1:3 ✺
03.02.26	Barnet - Crewe Alexandra	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Shrewsbury Town - Barnet	0:0 ✺
27.01.26	Barnet - Tranmere Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWTTW
- Swindon Town
English League Two
14.02.26	Shrewsbury Town - Swindon Town	3:1 ✺
11.02.26	Swindon Town - Newport County	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Swindon Town - Oldham Athletic	3:0 ✺
03.02.26	Harrogate Town - Swindon Town	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Swindon Town - Barrow	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
19.08.25	Swindon Town - Barnet	0:2
01.01.18	Barnet - Swindon Town	1:2
02.09.17	Swindon Town - Barnet	1:4
03.04.12	Barnet - Swindon Town	N/A

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