Match Info

League Two - Round 25

Date: 3 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: The Hive Stadium (London)

Referee: Wager H. (Eng)


	Barnet		Crewe Alexandra

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.75	5	Watch
	1.7	3.8	4.5
	1.65	3.95	4.95	Watch
	1.65	4.01	5.09
	1.63	4.01	4.86	Watch
	1.67	3.7	4.6
	1.64	3.8	5	Watch
	1.66	3.8	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.82)	3.85 ↑ (3.34)	4.88 ↑ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnet
56.6%

Draw
24.3%

Crewe Alexandra
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

27.5%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

26.4%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barnet's performance.

Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Barnet - Crewe Alexandra Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Barnet will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Crewe will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barnet will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Slicker C. (G) 30. Kizzi J. 25. Tavares N. 4. Collinge D. (C) 5. Senior A. 19. Shelton M. 28. Ofoborh N. 15. Glover R. 12. Hawkins O. 11. Kanu I. 20. Tshimanga K.	41. Lawlor I. (G) 2. Billington L. (C) 25. Pond A. 18. Connolly J. 3. Hutchinson R. 23. Powell J. 19. Lunt O. 26. O'Reilly T. 20. Agius C. 24. March J. 29. Thibaut A.
Substitutes
27. Assombalonga B. 8. Browne R. 22. Chinedu P. 13. Evans O. (G) 18. Hartigan A. 7. Jaiyesimi D. 23. Smith K.	1. Booth T. (G) 30. Dancey S. 5. Demetriou M. 14. Finney C. 17. Holicek M. 32. Moore L. 8. Thomas C.
Coaches
Brennan D.	Bell L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Tshimanga K. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Lunt O. ⚽, Hutchinson R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hawkins O. ↓, Hartigan A. ↑,
48', Hutchinson R. 🟨,
59', Senior A. ↓, Chinedu P. ↑,
64', O'Reilly T. ↓, Holicek M. ↑,
72', Lunt O. 🟨,
76', Tavares N. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
76', Kanu I. ↓, Browne R. ↑,
76', Lunt O. ↓, Thomas C. ↑,
76', Powell J. ↓, Finney C. ↑,
82', Pond A. 🟨,
85', Thibaut A. ↓, Demetriou M. ↑,
88', Ofoborh N. ↓, Jaiyesimi D. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Barnet is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Crewe: Tabiner J. (Knee Injury) Tezgel E. (Ankle Injury) Tracey S. (Broken Leg)

There are questionable in Crewe: Golding J. (Inactive) Lankester J. (Knee Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Barnet won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Barnet: 9.85% Crewe: 4.64%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Barnet	7	4	3	0	17:10	7	15
3	Crewe	9	3	6	0	11:7	4	15

Last Results with these Odds

Barnet - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.55%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Crewe Alexandra - the odds 4.18 are the expected chance of winning is 21.98%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnet
English League Two
31.01.26	Shrewsbury Town - Barnet	0:0 ✺
27.01.26	Barnet - Tranmere Rovers	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Barnet - Oldham Athletic	3:2 ✺
17.01.26	Grimsby Town - Barnet	1:0 ✺
01.01.26	Barnet - Crawley Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWWLW
- Crewe Alexandra
English League Two
31.01.26	Crewe Alexandra - Colchester United	1:0 ✺
27.01.26	Bromley - Crewe Alexandra	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Notts County - Crewe Alexandra	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Crewe Alexandra - Barrow	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Crewe Alexandra - Harrogate Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
13.09.25	Crewe Alexandra - Barnet	1:2
30.03.18	Barnet - Crewe Alexandra	2:1
19.08.17	Crewe Alexandra - Barnet	1:0
06.05.17	Crewe Alexandra - Barnet	4:1
19.11.16	Barnet - Crewe Alexandra	0:0
28.01.12	Barnet - Crewe Alexandra	N/A

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