The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crewe Alexandra 51.4%
Draw 24.5%
Barrow 24.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.7%
24.9%
25.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.5%
23.8%
26.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
0%
42.9%
Crewe Alexandra - Barrow Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Barrow will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Barrow (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barrow (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Lawlor I. (G) 2. Billington L. 25. Pond A. 5. Demetriou M. (C) 3. Hutchinson R. 19. Lunt O. 6. Sanders M. H. 26. O'Reilly T. 17. Holicek M. 20. Agius C. 24. March J.
1. Stanway W. (G) 24. Anderson F. 5. Raglan C. (C) 3. Shipley L. 45. Harper R. 34. Whitfield B. 8. Smith S. 14. McCann C. 7. Jackson B. 23. Mahoney C. 20. Fletcher I.
Substitutes
1. Booth T. (G) 18. Connolly J. 14. Finney C. 31. Moult L. 23. Powell J. 15. Rankine D. 29. Thibaut A.
22. Anderson J. 29. Barkhuizen T. 32. Barrett K. (G) 18. Cameron I. 21. Earing J. 11. Newby E. 27. Worrall D.
Coaches
Bell L.
McDonald N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
10', Sanders M. H. 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, O'Reilly T. ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, Agius C. ⚽, March J. (A),
18', Jackson B. 🟨,
31', 2 - 1, Fletcher I. ⚽,
38', 3 - 1, March J. ⚽, Demetriou M. (A),
41', Demetriou M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Hutchinson R. 🟨,
63', Mahoney C. ↓, Cameron I. ↑,
65', Anderson F. 🟨,
65', Smith S. 🟨,
72', Shipley L. ↓, Anderson J. ↑,
72', Whitfield B. ↓, Barkhuizen T. ↑,
78', O'Reilly T. ↓, Connolly J. ↑,
84', March J. ↓, Thibaut A. ↑,
85', Harper R. ↓, Newby E. ↑,
89', Holicek M. ↓, Rankine D. ↑,
90+6', Agius C. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 19).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 2.
In recent matches, Crewe has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Barrow's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Barrow may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Crewe is the team to beat.
There will not play in Crewe: Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
Tracey S.
(Broken Leg)
There will not play in Barrow: Barkhuizen T.
(Inactive)
Foley S.
(Surgery)
Healey R.
(Knee Injury)
Hemmings K.
(Injury)
Walker T.
(Inactive)
Winterbottom B.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Crewe: Lankester J.
(Knee Injury)
Tezgel E.
(Ankle Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Crewe: 3.91%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Crewe
10
4
6
0
12:7
5
18
Last Results with these Odds
Barrow - the odds 3.66 are the expected chance of winning is 25.39%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.