The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Notts County 47%
Draw 27%
Crewe Alexandra 26%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.6%
26.6%
26.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
25.6%
27.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
55.6%
22.2%
22.2%
Notts County - Crewe Alexandra Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Crewe will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Belshaw J. (G) 28. Macari L. 5. Platt M. 4. Bedeau J. 25. Tsaroulla N. 18. Palmer M. (C) 8. Norburn O. 10. Jones J. 11. Grant C. 14. Iorpenda T. 29. Jatta A.
41. Lawlor I. (G) 2. Billington L. 25. Pond A. 5. Demetriou M. (C) 3. Hutchinson R. 6. Sanders M. H. 19. Lunt O. 17. Holicek M. 26. O'Reilly T. 20. Agius C. 24. March J.
Substitutes
19. Dennis M. 22. Enoru B. 21. Griffiths H. (G) 26. Hall T. 36. Jarvis W. 17. Kouhyar Q. 12. Ness L.
1. Booth T. (G) 18. Connolly J. 14. Finney C. 31. Moult L. 23. Powell J. 15. Rankine D. 29. Thibaut A.
Coaches
Paterson M.
Bell L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Jatta A. ⚽, Tsaroulla N. (A),
30', Norburn O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lunt O. ↓, Connolly J. ↑,
52', Holicek M. 🟨,
62', O'Reilly T. 🟨,
64', Jones J. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
64', Grant C. ↓, Hall T. ↑,
71', Hutchinson R. ↓, Thibaut A. ↑,
71', O'Reilly T. ↓, Rankine D. ↑,
76', Jatta A. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
82', Bedeau J. 🟨,
86', Macari L. ↓, Ness L. ↑,
90+1', Sanders M. H. ↓, Moult L. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Notts County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Notts County is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Notts County: Luker J.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Crewe: Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
Tracey S.
(Broken Leg)
There are questionable in Notts County: Robertson S.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Crewe: Lankester J.
(Knee Injury)
Tezgel E.
(Ankle Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 1.9:1).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Crewe: 3.91%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Crewe
10
4
6
0
12:7
5
18
Last Results with these Odds
Crewe Alexandra - the odds 3.47 are the expected chance of winning is 26.75%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Belshaw J. (G) 
Macari L. 
Bedeau J. 
Tsaroulla N. 
Jones J. 
Grant C. 
Jatta A. 
Holicek M. 
Agius C. 
Enoru B. 
Kouhyar Q. 
Paterson M. 
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