Match Info

League One - Round 44

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Oakwell (Barnsley)

Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Barnsley		Bradford City

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2.15
	3.15	3.35	2.18
	3.27	3.44	2.28
	3.05	3.38	2.27	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.2
	3.17	3.32	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.7)	3.32 ↓ (3.35)	2.22 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnsley
29.7%

Draw
28.2%

Bradford City
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

27.1%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

27.7%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Bradford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Barnsley - Bradford City Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Barnsley will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Bradford will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goodman O. (G) 7. O'Keeffe C. 4. Roberts M. 15. O'Connell E. 32. Earl J. 30. Bland J. 45. Yoganathan V. 8. Phillips A. (C) 22. Kelly P. 18. Banks S. 9. Bradshaw T.	1. Walker S. (G) 28. Pennington M. 15. Baldwin A. 26. Tilt C. 7. Neufville J. 21. Metcalfe J. 6. Power M. (C) 3. Touray I. 24. Swan W. 11. Humphrys S. 19. Jackson K.
Substitutes
19. Cleary R. 48. Connell L. 6. de Gevigney M. 39. Farrell L. 51. Flavell K. (G) 5. Shepherd J. 27. Watson T.	33. Ashby H. 8. Evans L. 25. Hilton J. (G) 32. Lapslie G. 22. Powell N. 10. Sarcevic A. 4. Wright J.
Coaches
Hourihane C.	Alexander G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Yoganathan V. 🟥,
33', Swan W. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Earl J. ↓, de Gevigney M. ↑,
50', 1 - 0, O'Connell E. ⚽, Roberts M. (A),
55', Touray I. 🟨,
61', Banks S. ↓, Cleary R. ↑,
62', Phillips A. ↓, Connell L. ↑,
65', Metcalfe J. 🟨,
66', Pennington M. ↓, Sarcevic A. ↑,
66', Metcalfe J. ↓, Lapslie G. ↑,
66', Jackson K. ↓, Ashby H. ↑,
66', Swan W. ↓, Powell N. ↑,
71', Bland J. 🟨,
73', 1 - 1, Powell N. ⚽, Humphrys S. (A),
76', Cleary R. 🟨,
79', Bradshaw T. ↓, Watson T. ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Roberts M. (Own goal),
88', Neufville J. ↓, Evans L. ↑,
89', O'Keeffe C. ↓, Farrell L. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 2, Farrell L. ⚽, Cleary R. (A),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Barnsley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bradford could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Barnsley: Chirewa T. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Barnsley: McGoldrick D. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Bradford: Ashby H. (Inactive)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Barnsley won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).

Outrights of English League One for now

Bradford City: 8.09% Barnsley: 0.61%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bradford City	9	5	2	2	8:5	3	17
19	Barnsley	8	2	2	4	8:15	-7	8

Last Results with these Odds

Bradford City - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39.19%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnsley FC
English League One
14.04.26	Port Vale - Barnsley	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Rotherham United - Barnsley	1:3 ✺
06.04.26	Barnsley - Plymouth Argyle	0:3 ✺
03.04.26	Burton Albion - Barnsley	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Barnsley - Doncaster Rovers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWLTL
- Bradford City
English League One
11.04.26	Bradford City - Stevenage Borough	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Bradford City	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Bradford City - Northampton Town	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Burton Albion - Bradford City	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Bradford City - Mansfield Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
18.10.25	Bradford City - Barnsley	2:2
English EFL Trophy
21.11.23	Bradford City - Barnsley	5:1
English League One
12.01.19	Barnsley - Bradford City	3:0
English EFL Trophy
13.11.18	Barnsley - Bradford City	2:1
English League One
11.08.18	Bradford City - Barnsley	0:2
26.01.16	Bradford City - Barnsley	0:1
English EFL Trophy
13.10.15	Bradford City - Barnsley	1:2

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