Match Info

League One - Round 42

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday

Location: Oakwell (Barnsley)

Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Barnsley		Plymouth Argyle

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.6	2.25
	3	3.7	2.15
	2.82	3.7	2.22
	2.82	3.9	2.34
	3.06	3.72	2.14	Watch
	2.8	3.6	2.2
	2.77	3.62	2.31	Watch
	2.39	3.75	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.31)	3.7 ↑ (3.55)	2.29 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnsley
33.6%

Draw
25.4%

Plymouth Argyle
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

25.6%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

25.7%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barnsley's form might have worsened.

Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Plymouth Argyle's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barnsley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Plymouth Argyle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Barnsley - Plymouth Argyle Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Barnsley will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Plymouth will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barnsley: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barnsley (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goodman O. (G) 30. Bland J. 6. de Gevigney M. 15. O'Connell E. 5. Shepherd J. 48. Connell L. (C) 45. Yoganathan V. 22. Kelly P. 10. McGoldrick D. 19. Cleary R. 9. Bradshaw T.	1. Hazard C. (G) 8. Edwards J. (C) 2. Ross M. 15. Mitchell A. 45. Harding W. 28. Curtis R. 7. Paterson J. 19. Boateng M. 35. Dale O. 18. Oseni O. 9. Tolaj L.
Substitutes
18. Banks S. 39. Farrell L. 51. Flavell K. (G) 20. Lennon C. 8. Phillips A. 4. Roberts M. 27. Watson T.	10. Amaechi X. 21. Ashby-Hammond L. (G) 14. Benarous A. 22. Galloway B. 3. MacKenzie J. 24. Roberts C. 17. Watts C.
Coaches
Hourihane C.	Cleverley T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Ross M. 🟨,
16', 0 - 1, Oseni O. ⚽, Tolaj L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Bradshaw T. ↓, Phillips A. ↑,
57', 0 - 2, Tolaj L. ⚽, Oseni O. (A),
64', Tolaj L. ↓, Watts C. ↑,
65', Paterson J. ↓, Roberts C. ↑,
67', Bland J. ↓, Banks S. ↑,
78', Yoganathan V. ↓, Farrell L. ↑,
78', Shepherd J. 🟨,
79', 0 - 3, Oseni O. (Penalty Awarded),
81', Oseni O. ↓, Amaechi X. ↑,
85', Edwards J. ↓, Galloway B. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 9).

In recent matches, Barnsley has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Plymouth is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Plymouth might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Barnsley: Chirewa T. (Ankle Injury) Earl J. (Broken Leg)

There will not play in Plymouth: Finn T. (Hamstring Injury) Ibrahim B. (Ankle Injury) Pleguezuelo J. (Calf Injury) Ralls J. (Hamstring Injury) Sorinola M. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Barnsley won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Plymouth	10	6	1	3	18:12	6	19
19	Barnsley	8	2	2	4	8:15	-7	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnsley FC
English League One
03.04.26	Burton Albion - Barnsley	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Barnsley - Doncaster Rovers	0:1 ✺
17.03.26	Barnsley - Wigan Athletic	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Mansfield Town - Barnsley	2:2 ✺
10.03.26	Barnsley - Cardiff City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLTTT
- Plymouth Argyle
English League One
03.04.26	Plymouth Argyle - Bolton Wanderers	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Plymouth Argyle - Huddersfield Town	3:1 ✺
17.03.26	Plymouth Argyle - Stevenage Borough	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Reading - Plymouth Argyle	2:2 ✺
10.03.26	Wigan Athletic - Plymouth Argyle	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
02.08.25	Plymouth Argyle - Barnsley	1:3
11.03.23	Barnsley - Plymouth Argyle	3:0
30.07.22	Plymouth Argyle - Barnsley	1:0
22.04.19	Plymouth Argyle - Barnsley	0:3
02.10.18	Barnsley - Plymouth Argyle	1:1

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