Match Info

League Two - Round 2

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Alexandra Stadium (Crewe)

Referee: Sandoe L. (Eng)


	Crewe Alexandra		Northampton Town

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.40	3.20	Watch
	2.20	3.25	3.20
	2.10	3.30	3.10
	2.23	3.42	3.41
	2.21	3.41	3.08	Watch
	2.15	3.35	3.35
	2.15	3.41	3.21	Watch
	2.15	3.35	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.2)	3.36 ↑ (3.35)	3.21 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crewe Alexandra
43.2%

Draw
27.8%

Northampton Town
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

27.7%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

26.9%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Crewe Alexandra - Northampton Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Northampton will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Booth T. (G) 2. Billington L. (C) 6. Offord L. 12. Stephenson J. 3. Hutchinson R. 17. Holicek M. 7. Lankester J. 20. Agius C. 11. Tabiner J. 14. Gibson J. 9. March J.	1. Jeacock Z. (G) 44. Donacien J. 6. Moore E. 5. Guthrie J. (C) 3. Maxwell J. 24. Lemonheigh-Evans C. 8. Evans L. 14. Fornah T. 20. Briggs L. 9. Warhurst M. 32. Saunders H.
Substitutes
22. Croker P. 30. Dancey S. 23. McNeill C. 32. Moore L. 29. Thibaut A. 31. Thomas L. (G) 4. Ure K.	35. Dyche M. 34. Fitzsimons R. (G) 7. Hoskins S. 10. List E. 4. O'Brien Whitmarsh J. 21. Perkins J. 16. Wormleighton J.
Coaches
Bell L.	Hogg C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', March J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, March J. ⚽,
66', Briggs L. ↓, O'Brien Whitmarsh J. ↑,
67', Saunders H. ↓, List E. ↑,
75', Lankester J. ↓, McNeill C. ↑,
75', Tabiner J. ↓, Ure K. ↑,
77', Warhurst M. ↓, Hoskins S. ↑,
87', Evans L. 🟨,
90', Gibson J. ↓, Thibaut A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 2.

Crewe is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Northampton's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Crewe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Crewe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Crewe: Demetriou M. (Red Card) Lawlor I. (Inactive)

There will not play in Northampton: Burroughs J. (Inactive) Shaw L. (Knee Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Crewe: 3.91% Northampton: 1.25%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Crewe	10	4	6	0	12:7	5	18
23	Northampton	8	1	4	3	4:7	-3	7

Last Results with these Odds

Crewe Alexandra - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.18%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crewe Alexandra
English League Two
15.08.26	Crawley Town - Crewe Alexandra	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Crewe Alexandra - Accrington Stanley	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Chester - Crewe Alexandra	0:0 ✺
25.07.26	Crewe Alexandra - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
21.07.26	AFC Telford United - Crewe Alexandra	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWTLW
- Northampton Town
English EFL Trophy
18.08.26	Northampton Town - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	0:3 ✺
English League Two
15.08.26	Northampton Town - Swindon Town	0:0 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Leicester City - Northampton Town	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Solihull Moors - Northampton Town	2:4 ✺
28.07.26	Cambridge United - Northampton Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
18.03.23	Northampton Town - Crewe Alexandra	1:0
20.08.22	Crewe Alexandra - Northampton Town	2:2
English League One
20.03.21	Northampton Town - Crewe Alexandra	0:1
12.12.20	Crewe Alexandra - Northampton Town	2:1
English League Two
16.11.19	Northampton Town - Crewe Alexandra	4:1
02.03.19	Crewe Alexandra - Northampton Town	0:2
03.11.18	Northampton Town - Crewe Alexandra	2:0

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