The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barracas Central 49%
Draw 26%
Nueva Chicago 24.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.7%
23%
15.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
73.9%
19.2%
12.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barracas Central's form might have worsened.
Nueva Chicago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nueva Chicago's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+24.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barracas Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nueva Chicago, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
70.3%
10.8%
18.9%
Barracas Central - Nueva Chicago Predictions
Users Predictions:
37 users predict this event. Barracas Central will win (votes: 26 - 70.3%). Nueva Chicago will win (votes: 7 - 18.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Barracas Central: 55.6% – 85%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Primera Nacional (Qualification to Play Offs) and 8).
Barracas Central is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Nueva Chicago is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Barracas Central could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Barracas Central is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Barracas Central to win the game is with odds 1.82.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Barracas Central won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Barracas Central won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
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