Match Info

League Two - Round 36

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: The Wham Stadium (Accrington)

Referee: O'Connor J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	Accrington Stanley		Cambridge United

	1	X	2
	5	3.4	1.68
	4.33	3.25	1.87
	4.95	3.45	1.72
	5.08	3.54	1.76
	4.35	3.33	1.85	Watch
	4.6	3.25	1.75
	5.02	3.41	1.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.76 ↑ (4.07)	3.38 ↑ (3.36)	1.77 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Accrington Stanley
19.6%

Draw
27.6%

Cambridge United
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

27.5%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

27%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Accrington Stanley - Cambridge United Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Cambridge will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cambridge (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Wright O. (G) 17. Matthews D. 5. Rawson F. 3. Sass F. 38. O'Brien C. 24. Butterfield L. 4. Grant C. 30. Heath I. 7. Whalley S. (C) 8. Madden P. 27. Abimbola D.	1. Eastwood J. (G) 26. Gibbons J. 23. Jobe M. 6. Watts K. 2. Bennett L. 4. Ball D. (C) 17. Mpanzu P. 7. Brophy J. 21. McLoughlin S. 14. Knight B. 24. Nevitt E.
Substitutes
20. Brown C. 28. Conneely S. 26. Hall C. 1. Kelly M. (G) 22. Martin D. 19. Popoola A. 25. Smith J.	9. Appere L. 25. Hughes B. (G) 11. Kaikai S. 19. Lavery S. 3. Purrington B. 28. Raggett S. 8. Smith K.
Coaches
Doolan J.	Harris N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Rawson F. ⚽, Whalley S. (A),
35', Heath I. ↓, Brown C. ↑,
45+2', O'Brien C. ↓, Conneely S. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', McLoughlin S. ↓, Kaikai S. ↑,
46', Mpanzu P. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
62', Bennett L. ↓, Appere L. ↑,
62', Nevitt E. ↓, Lavery S. ↑,
67', Grant C. 🟨,
81', 1 - 1, Appere L. ⚽, Smith K. (A),
84', Sass F. 🟨,
88', Abimbola D. ↓, Popoola A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 2.

Accrington is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cambridge is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Accrington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cambridge is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Accrington: Coyle L. (Inactive) Love D. (Red Card)

There will not play in Cambridge: Hoddle G. (Inactive) Kouassi K. (Hamstring Injury) Mayor A. (Inactive) Morrison M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Accrington: Grant C. (Inactive) Mooney K. (Inactive) Sinclair I. (Inactive) Walton T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cambridge: Bradshaw Z. (Inactive)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Accrington: 0.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Accrington	10	2	5	3	13:14	-1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Accrington Stanley - the odds 4.07 are the expected chance of winning is 22.72%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Accrington Stanley
English League Two
28.02.26	Bromley - Accrington Stanley	2:1 ✺
24.02.26	Accrington Stanley - Barnet	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Accrington Stanley - Shrewsbury Town	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Tranmere Rovers - Accrington Stanley	0:1 ✺
11.02.26	Grimsby Town - Accrington Stanley	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLWL
- Cambridge United
English League Two
28.02.26	Cambridge United - Milton Keynes Dons	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Newport County - Cambridge United	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Cambridge United - Colchester United	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Cambridge United - Bristol Rovers	3:1 ✺
10.02.26	Crawley Town - Cambridge United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
19.12.25	Cambridge United - Accrington Stanley	2:0
English League One
29.04.23	Accrington Stanley - Cambridge United	1:2
19.11.22	Cambridge United - Accrington Stanley	0:1
19.02.22	Cambridge United - Accrington Stanley	2:0
14.08.21	Accrington Stanley - Cambridge United	2:1
English League Two
24.02.18	Accrington Stanley - Cambridge United	1:0
11.11.17	Cambridge United - Accrington Stanley	0:0

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