Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 21

Date: 9 December 2023, Saturday


	Morecambe		Stockport County

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.8
	4.1	3.6	1.8
	4.33	3.6	1.8
	4.63	3.8	1.82
	4.63	3.8	1.79
	4.2	3.8	1.73
	4.3	3.72	1.79	Watch
	4.2	3.5	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.39 ↓ (4.57)	3.67 ↓ (3.91)	1.79 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morecambe
21.5%

Draw
25.8%

Stockport County
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

24.1%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

23.5%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Stockport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Morecambe - Stockport County Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Morecambe will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Stockport will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stockport: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Smith A. (G) 12. Senior J. 22. Connolly J. 4. Bedeau J. (C) 3. Tutonda D. 7. Bloxham T. 8. King E. 10. McKiernan J. J. 6. Songo'o Y. 11. Mayor A. 9. Mellon M.	1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 3. Touray I. 10. Sarcevic A. 15. Pye E. 7. Southam M. 18. Croasdale R. 9. Madden P. (C) 19. Wootton K. 27. Bailey O. 6. Horsfall F. 25. Olaofe I.
Substitutes
16. Davenport J. 23. Melbourne M. 26. Pedley G. (G) 14. Slew J. 17. Smith C. 15. Stokes Ch. 18. Taylor J.	5. Byrne N. 8. Camps C. 22. Cotterill J. 2. Knoyle K. 26. Richardson J. 12. Smith J. (G) 4. Wright A.
Coaches
Brannan G.	Challinor D.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

Morecambe is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Stockport is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Morecambe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Morecambe have a series of guest games.

In this match Stockport is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morecambe
English FA Cup
02.12.23	Wycombe Wanderers - Morecambe	0:2 ✺
English League Two
28.11.23	Morecambe - Newport County	1:2 ✺
25.11.23	Wrexham - Morecambe	6:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
14.11.23	Blackpool - Morecambe	2:1 ✺
English League Two
11.11.23	Grimsby Town - Morecambe	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLLL
- Stockport County
English EFL Trophy
06.12.23	Wigan Athletic - Stockport County	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
03.12.23	Aldershot Town - Stockport County	2:2 ✺
English League Two
28.11.23	Stockport County - Salford City	0:0 ✺
25.11.23	Newport County - Stockport County	2:1 ✺
18.11.23	Stockport County - Colchester United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTTLW

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