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Current Win Probability
Haverfordwest County 24.9%
Draw 28.5%
Barry Town United 46.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.9%
25.4%
39.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.8%
24.6%
41%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Haverfordwest County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Haverfordwest County's form might have worsened.
Barry Town United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barry Town United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haverfordwest County than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Haverfordwest County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barry Town United than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barry Town United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
100%
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Haverfordwest County - Barry Town United Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Barry Town (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Haverfordwest (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - Haverfordwest (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Haverfordwest (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -0.25 - Barry Town (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Haverfordwest (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Barry Town (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Knott I. (G) 3. Abbruzzese R. 28. Ahmun B. 10. Hawkins D. 24. Humphreys I. 5. Jones A. 11. Makwiramiti P. 17. McCarthy K. 2. Rees D. (C) 8. Shephard C. 18. Walters G.
1. Thomas J. (G) 23. Barton D. 19. Bernard J. 17. Cuddihy O. 6. Davies K. 22. Hulbert O. 5. Margetson B. 24. Richards W. 4. Sainty C. (C) 42. Wigley M. 7. Willmott R.
Substitutes
27. James O. 19. Kenniford K. 34. McGuire D. 37. Millichip O. (G) 14. Owen L. 15. Shepherd T. 44. Thomas H.
2. George M. 35. Masrani L. (G) 9. Owen Ieuan Gwyn 8. Richards E. 14. Smith D. 21. Williams E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 0 - 1, Wigley M. (Pen),
60', Wigley M. ↓, Owen Ieuan Gwyn ↑,
66', 0 - 2, Owen Ieuan Gwyn ⚽,
66', Sainty C. ↓, Richards E. ↑,
67', Hulbert O. ↓, Smith D. ↑,
69', Humphreys I. ↓, Shepherd T. ↑,
69', Shephard C. ↓, Kenniford K. ↑,
76', Bernard J. ↓, George M. ↑,
82', Ahmun B. ↓, Thomas H. ↑,
82', Makwiramiti P. ↓, Owen L. ↑,
82', Rees D. ↓, James O. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haverfordwest won 1.
Haverfordwest is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Barry Town has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Haverfordwest won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.6:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Haverfordwest won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:10. (average 2:1.1).
Watch
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Knott I. (G) 
Hawkins D. 
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