Match Info

Date: 6 August 2020, Thursday


	Basel		Eintracht Frankfurt

	1	X	2
	3.8	4.6	1.75
	3.75	4.33	1.8
	3.6	4.5	1.88
	3.8	4.2	1.76
	3.8	4.59	1.79
	3.9	4.4	1.73
	4	4.7	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (2.63)	4.47 ↑ (3.81)	1.79 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basel
25.2%

Draw
21.4%

Eintracht Frankfurt
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

25%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

18.9%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Basel's form might have worsened.

Eintracht Frankfurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Eintracht Frankfurt's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.7%	4.8%	81.5%

Basel - Eintracht Frankfurt Predictions

Users Predictions: 146 users predict this event. Basel will win (votes: 20 - 13.7%). Eintracht will win (votes: 119 - 81.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 4.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eintracht: 75.2% – 87.8%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Basel
Swiss Super League
03.08.20	Basel - Luzern	0:0 ✺
31.07.20	Thun - Basel	0:0 ✺
26.07.20	Basel - Lugano	4:4 ✺
22.07.20	St. Gallen - Basel	0:5 ✺
19.07.20	Servette - Basel	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TTTWT
- Eintracht Frankfurt
Club Friendly
01.08.20	Eintracht Frankfurt - Monaco	1:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
27.06.20	Eintracht Frankfurt - Paderborn	3:2 ✺
20.06.20	Köln - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:1 ✺
17.06.20	Eintracht Frankfurt - Schalke 04	2:1 ✺
13.06.20	Hertha Berlin - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
12.03.20	Eintracht Frankfurt - Basel	0:3

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