Match Info

Super League - Round 33

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stockhorn Arena (Thun)

Referee: Turkes M. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Switzerland	Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Ukraine	Sport 2
World	Sport 2 Baltic


	Thun		Basel

	1	X	2
	1.71	4.1	3.9	Watch
	1.78	4.05	3.65
	1.85	4.31	3.92
	1.75	4.41	3.96	Watch
	1.75	3.9	3.6
	1.78	4.05	3.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.72)	4.14 ↓ (4.17)	3.82 ↓ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thun
52.9%

Draw
22.6%

Basel
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

22.4%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

22%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Basel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thun than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basel than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Thun - Basel Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Thun will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Basel will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Basel (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Basel (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Basel (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Steffen N. (G) 47. Fehr F. 4. Montolio G. 19. Bamert J. 27. Heule M. 6. Bertone L. (C) 16. Roth J. 77. Meichtry F. 7. Imeri K. 18. Ibayi C. 74. Rastoder E.	1. Hitz M. (G) 3. Vouilloz N. 4. Omeragic B. 24. Daniliuc F. 31. Schmid D. 22. Leroy L. 5. Metinho 21. Salah I. 10. Shaqiri X. (C) 11. Traore B. 23. Ajeti Al.
Substitutes
23. Burki M. 37. Dahler L. 9. Dursun F. 33. Gutbub M. 14. Kait M. 96. Labeau B. 78. Matoshi V. 20. Rupp N. 25. Spycher T. (G)	14. Bacanin A. 17. Broschinski M. 29. Cisse M. 18. Duranville J. 8. Koindredi K. 37. Koloto G. 27. Ruegg K. 13. Salvi M. (G) 25. van Breemen F.
Coaches
Lustrinelli M.	Kohler M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Montolio G. 🟨,
27', Salah I. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Ibayi C. ⚽, Rastoder E. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Salah I. ↓, Duranville J. ↑,
53', 2 - 0, Heule M. ⚽, Imeri K. (A),
56', 2 - 1, Duranville J. ⚽, Ajeti Al. (A),
58', Leroy L. 🟨,
58', Vouilloz N. ↓, Ruegg K. ↑,
63', Meichtry F. ↓, Rupp N. ↑,
63', Imeri K. ↓, Kait M. ↑,
64', 3 - 1, Rastoder E. ⚽, Heule M. (A),
69', Ajeti Al. ↓, Koloto G. ↑,
70', Leroy L. ↓, Koindredi K. ↑,
74', Ibayi C. ↓, Matoshi V. ↑,
74', Roth J. ↓, Labeau B. ↑,
80', Shaqiri X. 🟨,
90+1', Metinho ↓, Broschinski M. ↑,
90+1', Heule M. ↓, Burki M. ↑,
90+3', Burki M. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).

Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )

Basel is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thun won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Thun is the team to beat.

There will not play in Thun: Balaruban A. (Inactive) Burki M. (Inactive) Ziswiler N. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Basel: Kaio Eduardo (Knee Injury) Tsunemoto K. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Thun won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 25:44. (average 1.3:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Thun won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 1:2.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Basel	9	4	1	4	17:17	0	13
9	Thun	10	3	1	6	17:27	-10	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Thun
Swiss Super League
04.04.26	Lugano - Thun	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Zürich - Thun	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Thun - Grasshoppers	5:1 ✺
08.03.26	Young Boys - Thun	1:2 ✺
05.03.26	Thun - St. Gallen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWT
- FC Basel
Swiss Super League
04.04.26	Basel - Young Boys	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
26.03.26	Basel - Vaduz	2:5 ✺
Swiss Super League
22.03.26	Winterthur - Basel	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Basel - Servette	3:1 ✺
08.03.26	St. Gallen - Basel	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
01.02.26	Basel - Thun	1:2
13.09.25	Thun - Basel	1:3
Club Friendly
11.01.25	Basel - Thun	2:0
27.06.21	Basel - Thun	2:3
09.01.21	Basel - Thun	2:2
Swiss Super League
31.07.20	Thun - Basel	0:0
15.02.20	Basel - Thun	0:1

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