The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Basel 50.8%
Draw 25.3%
Qarabağ Agdam 23.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.9%
25.5%
21.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.7%
16.7%
32.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basel than the current prediction. (-16.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Basel that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Qarabağ Agdam could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
56.9%
15.5%
27.6%
Basel - Qarabağ Agdam Predictions
Users Predictions:
58 users predict this event. Basel will win (votes: 33 - 56.9%). Qarabağ will win (votes: 16 - 27.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 15.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Basel: 44.2% – 69.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
Basel has currently - 11, has a good chance of 1st (74%), has a chance of 2nd (26%), has not chance of 3rd, has a good chance of round of 16 (83%), has a chance of qtrs (29%), has a small chance of semis (9%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Qarabağ has currently - 11, has a chance of 1st (26%), has a good chance of 2nd (74%), has not chance of 3rd, has a chance of round of 16 (45%), has a small chance of qtrs (12%), has a very small chance of semis (3%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Basel is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Qarabağ is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Basel will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Basel won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
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