Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 20

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Armand Cesari (Bastia)

Referee: Lepaysant B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Bastia		Angers

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.9	2.7	Watch
	2.75	2.95	2.65
	2.65	3	2.8	Watch
	2.84	3.05	2.92
	2.84	2.97	2.91
	2.6	3.1	2.62
	2.73	3.05	2.72	Watch
	2.7	2.95	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (3.34)	3 ↓ (3.17)	2.76 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bastia
34.6%

Draw
31.4%

Angers
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

29.5%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

28.6%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bastia's performance.

Angers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Angers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bastia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Angers than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Angers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	33.3%	46.7%

Bastia - Angers Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Angers will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Angers: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Placide J. (G) 17. Bianchini F. 99. Okou Y. 95. Keita C. 15. Bohnert F. 13. Ducrocq T. 7. Vincent C. (C) 66. Janneh J. 22. Traore C. 9. Santelli B. 10. Alfarela M.	16. Zinga M. (G) 27. Rao-Lisoa L. 25. Bamba A. 22. Hountondji C. 26. Hanin F. 8. Lopy J. 15. Capelle P. (C) 20. Ferhat Z. 10. Abdelli H. 28. El Melali F. 9. Diony L.
Substitutes
39. Djoco K. 23. Fabri J. (G) 19. Loubatieres M. 4. Roncaglia A. 21. Souboul M. 18. Tomi F. 27. Yapi R.	24. Bahoya J. 29. Camara O. 23. Hunou A. 7. Niane I. 12. Ould Khaled Z. 50. Pasture E. (G) 4. Sabanovic H.
Coaches
Brouard R.	Dujeux A.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Recent matches Bastia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Angers is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bastia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bastia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Bastia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Bastia
French Ligue 2
19.12.23	Saint-Étienne - Bastia	3:2 ✺
16.12.23	Bastia - Quevilly	0:0 ✺
05.12.23	Dunkerque - Bastia	0:5 ✺
02.12.23	Caen - Bastia	1:0 ✺
25.11.23	Bastia - Auxerre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTWLT
- Angers SCO
Coupe De France
06.01.24	Brest - Angers	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 2
19.12.23	Angers - Guingamp	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Troyes - Angers	1:4 ✺
Coupe De France
09.12.23	Plessis-Robinson - Angers	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
05.12.23	Angers - Grenoble	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
23.09.23	Angers - Bastia	2:0
French Ligue 1
25.02.17	Angers - Bastia	3:0
15.10.16	Bastia - Angers	1:2
07.05.16	Bastia - Angers	1:0
03.10.15	Angers - Bastia	1:0
French Ligue 2
24.02.12	Angers - Bastia	N/A

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