Match Info

FRANCE: Coupe de France - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 January 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stade Armand Cesari (Bastia)

Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Sports MENA 8
Canada	beIN Connect
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Japan	DAZN Japan
Norway	VG+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5


	Bastia		Nice

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.2	2	Watch
	3.4	3.3	1.98
	3.7	3.35	2.08
	3.7	3.48	2.03	Watch
	3.5	3.25	2.05
	3.64	3.44	2	Watch
	3.7	3.35	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↓ (3.99)	3.34 ↓ (3.37)	2.03 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bastia
25.9%

Draw
28%

Nice
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

27.4%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

27.2%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Bastia - Nice Predictions

Users Predictions: Nice will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fabri J. (G) 2. Meynadier T. 4. Akueson G. 6. Guidi D. 3. Ariss Z. 8. Ducrocq T. 5. Janneh J. 9. Tomi F. 7. Vincent C. 10. Boutrah A. 11. Cisse L.	1. Dupe M. (G) 5. Mendy A. 4. Ndayishimiye Y. 2. Abdelmonem M. 3. Bard M. 6. Boudaoui H. 8. Rosario P. 7. Cho M. 10. Bouanani B. 9. Guessand E. 11. Moukoko Y.
Substitutes
13. Ble M. 15. Bohnert F. 14. Etoga L. 12. Inao Oulai C. 20. Maggiotti J. 16. Maisonnial A. (G) 19. Rodrigues C. 18. Roncaglia A. 17. Tramoni L.	18. Abdi A. 16. Bulka M. (G) 15. Camara I. 14. Clauss J. 12. Dante 19. Diop S. 17. Laborde G. 20. Louchet T. 13. Nguene B.
Coaches
Tavenot B.	Haise F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Boutrah A. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 0 - 1, Moukoko Y. ⚽, Guessand E. (A),
63', Mendy A. ↓, Clauss J. ↑,
63', Cho M. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
63', Moukoko Y. ↓, Laborde G. ↑,
70', Vincent C. ↓, Maggiotti J. ↑,
71', Tomi F. ↓, Tramoni L. ↑,
78', Bouanani B. ↓, Abdi A. ↑,
81', Ducrocq T. ↓, Ble M. ↑,
88', Guessand E. ↓, Louchet T. ↑,
90', Janneh J. ↓, Roncaglia A. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bastia won 2.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Recently Nice have a series of guest games.

Nice will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Bastia won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:11 (average 1.1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Bastia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Bastia
French Ligue 2
11.01.25	Bastia - Ajaccio	4:0 ✺
03.01.25	Grenoble - Bastia	3:2 ✺
Coupe De France
20.12.24	Bastia - Saint-Joseph	5:0 ✺
French Ligue 2
13.12.24	Bastia - Guingamp	3:1 ✺
06.12.24	Red Star - Bastia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWWT
- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
11.01.25	Reims - Nice	2:4 ✺
03.01.25	Nice - Rennes	3:2 ✺
Coupe De France
21.12.24	Corte - Nice	1:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
15.12.24	Montpellier - Nice	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.12.24	Saint-Gilloise - Nice	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
20.01.17	Bastia - Nice	1:1
27.11.16	Nice - Bastia	1:1
26.02.16	Nice - Bastia	0:2
19.09.15	Bastia - Nice	1:3
07.03.15	Bastia - Nice	2:1
18.10.14	Nice - Bastia	0:1
15.03.14	Nice - Bastia	2:0

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