What is the expert prediction for Saint-Gilloise vs Nice?

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Saint-Gilloise vs Nice Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, December 12, 2024)

Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 12 December 2024, Thursday

Location: King Baudouin Stadium (Brussels)

Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport App
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport Austria 8
Belgium	Play6, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2, RTBF Tipik
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Montenegro	Arena Sport 3
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Sporza
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 5
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 9
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 10, Blue Sport 10, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 8
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+


	Saint-Gilloise		Nice

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.75	4.5
	1.82	3.6	4.33
	1.82	3.7	4.45
	1.81	3.75	4.71
	1.74	3.74	4.79
	1.8	3.5	4.5
	1.86	3.73	4.76
	1.82	3.75	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.3)	3.69 ↑ (3.35)	4.57 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Gilloise
53.1%

Draw
25.9%

Nice
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

26.9%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

25.8%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saint-Gilloise's performance.

Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saint-Gilloise that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	11.9%	9.5%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Union SG will win (votes: 33 - 78.6%). Nice will win (votes: 4 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 66.2% – 91%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Moris A. (C) 25. Khalaili A. 5. Mac Allister K. 16. Burgess C. 28. Machida K. 27. Sadiki N. 24. Vanhoutte C. 23. Boufal S. 77. Fuseini M. 9. Ivanovic F. 22. Niang O.	1. Bulka M. (G) 20. Louchet T. 64. Bombito M. 8. Rosario P. (C) 42. Nandjou Y. 10. Diop S. 36. Camara I. 6. Boudaoui H. 19. Bouanani B. 15. Moukoko Y. 29. Guessand E.
Substitutes
10. Ait El Hadj A. 33. Berradi S. 21. Castro-Montes A. 1. Chambaere V. (G) 14. Imbrechts J. (G) 7. Kabangu E. 48. Leysen F. 4. Rasmussen M. 13. Rodriguez K. 74. Tshilanda Kabongo D. 6. Van De Perre K.	77. Boulhendi T. (G) 34. Bousnina F. 92. Clauss J. 31. Dupe M. (G) 24. Laborde G. 48. Monteiro L. 22. Ndombele T. 41. Salhi I.
Coaches
Pocognoli S.	Haise F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
33', 1 - 0, Ivanovic F. ⚽, Fuseini M. (A),
45+1', 1 - 1, Guessand E. ⚽, Diop S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Fuseini M. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
62', Bombito M. 🟨,
65', Nandjou Y. ↓, Clauss J. ↑,
65', Moukoko Y. ↓, Laborde G. ↑,
65', Camara I. ↓, Ndombele T. ↑,
75', Vanhoutte C. 🟨,
76', Mac Allister K. 🟨,
79', Boufal S. ↓, Ait El Hadj A. ↑,
89', Khalaili A. 🟨,
90+2', Diop S. ↓, Bousnina F. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Ivanovic F. ⚽, Ait El Hadj A. (A),
90+3', Ivanovic F. 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - King Baudouin Stadium.

Union SG is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Nice is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nice could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Nice have a series of home games.

In this match Union SG is a favorite.

There will not play in Union SG: Teklab H. (Broken Leg)

There will not play in Nice: Abdi A. (Thigh Injury) Bard M. (Foot Injury) Cho M. (Hamstring Injury) Clauss J. (Thigh Injury) Dante (Knee Injury) Mendy A. (Ankle Injury) Moffi T. (Knee Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Thigh Injury) Orakpo V. (Hernia) Sanson M. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Union SG: Castro-Montes A. (Muscle Injury) Francois G. (Knock) Traore M. (Knock)

There are questionable in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Illness)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Union SG won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
08.12.24	Cercle Brugge - Saint-Gilloise	0:0 ✺
Belgian Cup
04.12.24	Saint-Gilloise - Gent	3:2 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
01.12.24	Saint-Gilloise - Royal Antwerp	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.11.24	Twente - Saint-Gilloise	0:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
24.11.24	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Saint-Gilloise	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWWWT
- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
07.12.24	Nice - Le Havre	2:1 ✺
01.12.24	Lyon - Nice	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.11.24	Nice - Glasgow Rangers	1:4 ✺
French Ligue 1
24.11.24	Nice - Strasbourg	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	Nice - Lille	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
11.07.23	Nice - Saint-Gilloise	Canceled

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