Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 12 December 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: King Baudouin Stadium (Brussels) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport App
Argentina	14:45	Disney+
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Sport Austria 8
Belgium	18:45	Play6, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2, RTBF Tipik
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada
Chile	14:45	Disney+
China	01:45	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:45	Disney+
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
France	18:45	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
Iceland	17:45	Viaplay
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect
Malta	18:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Montenegro	18:45	Arena Sport 3
Myanmar	00:15	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	18:45	Sporza
New Zealand	06:45	DAZN New Zealand
North Macedonia	18:45	MaxTV GO
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Peru	12:45	Disney+
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect
Poland	18:45	Polsat Sport Premium 5
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 9
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 10, Blue Sport 10, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
United Kingdom	17:45	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 8
Uruguay	14:45	Disney+
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	13:45	Disney+
Vietnam	00:45	ON Plus
International	17:45	Disney+


	Saint-Gilloise		Nice

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.75	4.5
	1.82	3.6	4.33
	1.82	3.7	4.45
	1.81	3.75	4.71
	1.74	3.74	4.79
	1.8	3.5	4.5
	1.86	3.73	4.76
	1.82	3.75	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.3)	3.69 ↑ (3.35)	4.57 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Gilloise
53.1%

Draw
25.9%

Nice
21%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.1%

26.9%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

25.8%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saint-Gilloise's performance.

Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saint-Gilloise that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	11.9%	9.5%

Saint Gilloise - Nice Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Union SG will win (votes: 33 - 78.6%). Nice will win (votes: 4 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 66.2% – 91%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Moris A. (C) 25. Khalaili A. 5. Mac Allister K. 16. Burgess C. 28. Machida K. 27. Sadiki N. 24. Vanhoutte C. 23. Boufal S. 77. Fuseini M. 9. Ivanovic F. 22. Niang O.	1. Bulka M. (G) 20. Louchet T. 64. Bombito M. 8. Rosario P. (C) 42. Nandjou Y. 10. Diop S. 36. Camara I. 6. Boudaoui H. 19. Bouanani B. 15. Moukoko Y. 29. Guessand E.
Substitutes
10. Ait El Hadj A. 33. Berradi S. 21. Castro-Montes A. 1. Chambaere V. (G) 14. Imbrechts J. (G) 7. Kabangu E. 48. Leysen F. 4. Rasmussen M. 13. Rodriguez K. 74. Tshilanda Kabongo D. 6. Van De Perre K.	77. Boulhendi T. (G) 34. Bousnina F. 92. Clauss J. 31. Dupe M. (G) 24. Laborde G. 48. Monteiro L. 22. Ndombele T. 41. Salhi I.
Coaches
Pocognoli S.	Haise F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
33', 1 - 0, Ivanovic F. ⚽, Fuseini M. (A),
45+1', 1 - 1, Guessand E. ⚽, Diop S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Fuseini M. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
62', Bombito M. 🟨,
65', Nandjou Y. ↓, Clauss J. ↑,
65', Moukoko Y. ↓, Laborde G. ↑,
65', Camara I. ↓, Ndombele T. ↑,
75', Vanhoutte C. 🟨,
76', Mac Allister K. 🟨,
79', Boufal S. ↓, Ait El Hadj A. ↑,
89', Khalaili A. 🟨,
90+2', Diop S. ↓, Bousnina F. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Ivanovic F. ⚽, Ait El Hadj A. (A),
90+3', Ivanovic F. 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - King Baudouin Stadium.

Union SG is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Nice is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nice could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Nice have a series of home games.

In this match Union SG is a favorite.

There will not play in Union SG: Teklab H. (Broken Leg)

There will not play in Nice: Abdi A. (Thigh Injury) Bard M. (Foot Injury) Cho M. (Hamstring Injury) Clauss J. (Thigh Injury) Dante (Knee Injury) Mendy A. (Ankle Injury) Moffi T. (Knee Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Thigh Injury) Orakpo V. (Hernia) Sanson M. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Union SG: Castro-Montes A. (Muscle Injury) Francois G. (Knock) Traore M. (Knock)

There are questionable in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Illness)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Union SG won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
08.12.24	Cercle Brugge - Saint-Gilloise	0:0 ✺
Belgian Cup
04.12.24	Saint-Gilloise - Gent	3:2 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
01.12.24	Saint-Gilloise - Royal Antwerp	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.11.24	Twente - Saint-Gilloise	0:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
24.11.24	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Saint-Gilloise	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWWWT
- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
07.12.24	Nice - Le Havre	2:1 ✺
01.12.24	Lyon - Nice	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.11.24	Nice - Glasgow Rangers	1:4 ✺
French Ligue 1
24.11.24	Nice - Strasbourg	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	Nice - Lille	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
11.07.23	Nice - Saint-Gilloise	Canceled

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