Match Info

Date: 25 November 2021, Thursday


	Bayer Leverkusen		Celtic

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.75	6.5
	1.46	4.8	6.25
	1.46	5	6.7
	1.46	4.7	5.8
	1.48	4.94	6.57
	1.44	4.6	6.5
	1.51	5.2	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.46)	4.86 ↑ (4.8)	6.45 ↑ (6.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayer Leverkusen
65.4%

Draw
19.7%

Celtic
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

19.8%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

12.4%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Celtic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-24.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bayer Leverkusen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Celtic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.5%	8.5%	7%

Bayer Leverkusen - Celtic Predictions

Users Predictions: Bayer Leverkusen will win (109 of 129 users predict this - 84.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.25% – 90.75%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Bayer has a good chance of round of 16 (94%), has a good chance of qtrs (51%), has a chance of semis (26%), has a small chance of final (13%), has a small chance of win league (6%), has currently - 10, has a good chance of 1st (87%), has a small chance of 2nd (13%), has a very small chance of 3rd (<1%).

Celtic has a small chance of round of 16 (15%), has a small chance of qtrs (7%), has a very small chance of semis (3%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%), has currently - 6, has a very small chance of 1st (5%), has a chance of 2nd (22%), has a good chance of 3rd (72%).

Recent matches Bayer is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Celtic is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Bayer have a series of home games.

In this match Bayer is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bayer won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
20.11.21	Bayer Leverkusen - Bochum	1:0 ✺
07.11.21	Hertha Berlin - Bayer Leverkusen	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
04.11.21	Bayer Leverkusen - Betis	4:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
30.10.21	Bayer Leverkusen - Wolfsburg	0:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
27.10.21	Bayer Leverkusen - Karlsruher	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WTWLL
- Celtic
Scottish League Cup
20.11.21	Celtic - St. Johnstone	1:0 ✺
Scottish Premier League
07.11.21	Dundee - Celtic	2:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
04.11.21	Ferencvárosi - Celtic	2:3 ✺
Scottish Premier League
30.10.21	Celtic - Livingston	0:0 ✺
27.10.21	Hibernian - Celtic	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
30.09.21	Celtic - Bayer Leverkusen	0:4

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