The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hertha Berlin 25.5%
Draw 24.4%
Bayer Leverkusen 50%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.5%
24%
51.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.9%
23.4%
52.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hertha Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
18.4%
56.6%
Hertha Berlin - Bayer Leverkusen Predictions
Users Predictions:
76 users predict this event. Hertha will win (votes: 19 - 25%). Bayer will win (votes: 43 - 56.6%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 18.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 45.5% – 67.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).
Hertha has the most likely position - 16 (12.16%), has project points - 36, has currently - 4, has a chance of relegated (26%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Bayer has the most likely position - 6 (8.69%), has project points - 48, has currently - 3, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (20%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality67, importance39, match rating53. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Hertha won 2.
The competitors look crappy now.
Hertha could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Bayer will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Hertha: Gechter L.
(Injury)
Lee Dong-Jun
(Knee Injury)
Ngankam J.
(Knee Injury)
Nsona K.
(Knee Injury)
Scherhant D.
(Injury)
There will not play in Bayer: Adli A.
(Shoulder Injury)
Bellarabi K.
(Knee Injury)
Lunev A.
(Muscle Injury)
Wirtz F.
(Knee Injury)
Last 19 head-to-head matches Hertha won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 26-35.
Including matches at home between the teams Hertha won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-16.
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