Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 28

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: BayArena (Leverkusen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Petersen M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
Albania	15:30	Tring Sport 4
Argentina	10:30	Disney+
Asia	—	MBC Action
Australia	00:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Brazil	10:30	Canal GOAT
Bulgaria	16:30	Play Diema Xtra
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	10:30	Disney+
China	21:30	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	08:30	Disney+
Denmark	15:30	See, Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Germany	15:30	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports Extra 2
Hong Kong	21:30	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Iceland	13:30	Viaplay
India	19:00	Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	20:30	K-Vision
Israel	16:30	Sport 3
Japan	22:30	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	19:30	Setanta Sports
Laos	20:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	15:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	07:30	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Mongolia	21:30	Premier Sports 1
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	02:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	15:30	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	18:30	Tapmad
Peru	08:30	Disney+
Philippines	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	15:30	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	14:30	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	16:30	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	16:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	16:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	15:30	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	21:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	15:30	Sport TV2
South Korea	22:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	15:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Top Event
Thailand	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, True ID, True Premier Football 5
Turkey	16:30	S Sport+
Uruguay	10:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	09:30	Disney+
Vietnam	20:30	TV 360
International	13:30	Onefootball


	Bayer Leverkusen		Wolfsburg

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	7	Watch
	1.41	5.4	6.4	Watch
	1.44	5.2	6.81
	1.44	5.3	6.81	Watch
	1.44	4.6	6	Watch
	1.46	5.18	7.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.42)	5.07 ↓ (5.12)	6.71 ↑ (6.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayer Leverkusen
66.8%

Draw
18.9%

Wolfsburg
14.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.9%

18.6%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.8%	9.1%	12.1%

Bayer Leverkusen - Wolfsburg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Bayer (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Wolfsburg (5.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bayer Leverkusen will win (25 of 31 users predict this - 80.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.74% – 94.56%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayer Leverkusen will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayer (votes: 4 - 80%). Wolfsburg (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Flekken M. (G) 5. Bade L. 8. Andrich R. (C) 12. Tapsoba E. 42. Culbreath M. 25. Palacios E. 6. Fernandez E. 20. Grimaldo A. 30. Maza I. 23. Tella N. 35. Kofane C.	1. Grabara K. (G) 6. Belocian J. 3. Vavro D. 4. Koulierakis K. 26. Kumbedi S. 24. Eriksen C. (C) 5. Vini Souza 21. Maehle J. 39. Wimmer P. 9. Amoura M. 23. Wind J.
Substitutes
17. Ben Seghir E. 28. Blaswich J. (G) 7. Hofmann J. 15. Oermann T. 18. Omlin J. (G) 19. Poku E. 14. Schick P. 16. Tape A. 10. Tillman M.	27. Arnold M. 11. Daghim A. 31. Gerhardt Y. 19. Lindstrom J. 17. Pejcinovic D. 12. Pervan P. (G) 7. Shiogai K. 32. Svanberg M. 25. Zehnter A.
Coaches
Hjulmand K.	Hecking D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
16', 0 - 1, Wind J. ⚽, Koulierakis K. (A),
29', Maehle J. 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Grimaldo A. (Penalty Awarded),
31', 1 - 2, Maehle J. ⚽,
37', Tapsoba E. 🟨,
38', 1 - 3, Eriksen C. (Penalty Awarded),
38', Hecking D. 🟨,
44', 2 - 3, Grimaldo A. ⚽, Fernandez E. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Fernandez E. ↓, Schick P. ↑,
53', 3 - 3, Schick P. (Penalty Awarded),
55', Koulierakis K. 🟨,
66', Wimmer P. ↓, Lindstrom J. ↑,
68', 4 - 3, Tapsoba E. ⚽,
71', Vavro D. 🟨,
72', Hjulmand K. 🟨,
73', 5 - 3, Maza I. ⚽, Palacios E. (A),
81', Tella N. ↓, Poku E. ↑,
81', Wind J. ↓, Pejcinovic D. ↑,
81', Eriksen C. ↓, Arnold M. ↑,
82', Kumbedi S. ↓, Svanberg M. ↑,
88', Kofane C. ↓, Tillman M. ↑,
90+6', 6 - 3, Tillman M. ⚽, Poku E. (A),

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 4.

In recent matches, Bayer has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Wolfsburg is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Bayer is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Bayer: Arthur (Ankle Injury) Garcia A. (Yellow Cards) Lucas (Calf Injury) Quansah J. (Thigh Injury) Terrier M. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Wolfsburg: Cleiton (Ankle Injury) Dardai B. (Knee Injury) Fischer K. (Thigh Injury) Jenz M. (Red Card) Majer L. (Yellow Cards) Paredes K. (Muscle Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Seelt J. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:24. (average 1.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bayer won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 1.8:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Bayer Leverkusen	8	4	1	3	18:16	2	13

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Bayer Leverkusen: 3.08%

Last Results with these Odds

Bayer Leverkusen - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 66.94%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
21.03.26	Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen	3:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
17.03.26	Arsenal - Bayer Leverkusen	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
14.03.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.03.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Arsenal	1:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
07.03.26	Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TLTTT
- VfL Wolfsburg
German Bundesliga
21.03.26	Wolfsburg - Werder Bremen	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Hoffenheim - Wolfsburg	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Wolfsburg - Hamburger SV	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Stuttgart - Wolfsburg	4:0 ✺
21.02.26	Wolfsburg - Augsburg	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
22.11.25	Wolfsburg - Bayer Leverkusen	1:3
08.02.25	Wolfsburg - Bayer Leverkusen	0:0
22.09.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Wolfsburg	4:3
10.03.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Wolfsburg	2:0
21.10.23	Wolfsburg - Bayer Leverkusen	1:2
16.04.23	Wolfsburg - Bayer Leverkusen	0:0
22.10.22	Bayer Leverkusen - Wolfsburg	2:2

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