The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bayer Leverkusen 73.7%
Draw 16.6%
Ferencvárosi 9.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
71.1%
18.4%
10.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.8%
18.1%
10.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Ferencvárosi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.6%
10.6%
11.8%
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Predictions
Users Predictions:
85 users predict this event. Bayer will win (votes: 66 - 77.6%). Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 10 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 10.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 68.7% – 86.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Bayer was already of knockout phase, was already of round of 16, has a good chance of qtrs (82%), has a chance of semis (45%), has a chance of final (23%), has a small chance of win league (11%).
Ferencvárosi was already of knockout phase, was already of round of 16, has a chance of qtrs (18%), has a very small chance of semis (5%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality63, importance61, match rating62. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Bayer is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Ferencvárosi is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Ferencvárosi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Bayer is absolute favorite.
There will not play in Bayer: Andrich R.
(Yellow Cards)
Aranguiz C.
(Calf Injury)
Bakker M.
(Personal Reasons)
Lunev A.
(Back Injury)
Palacios E.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Ferencvárosi: Besic M.
(Knee Injury)
Owusu
(Ankle Injury)
Last 2 head-to-head matches Bayer won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Bayer won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
Australia
Croatia
Czech-republic
Finland
Italy
Norway
Poland
Portugal
Serbia
Sweden
United-kingdom
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