The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bayer Leverkusen 45.1%
Draw 26.6%
Monaco 28.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.8%
24.2%
22%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.4%
27.2%
19.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bayer Leverkusen's form might have worsened.
Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monaco's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+15.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bayer Leverkusen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Monaco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
65.2%
11.6%
23.2%
Bayer Leverkusen - Monaco Predictions
Users Predictions:
69 users predict this event. Bayer will win (votes: 45 - 65.2%). Monaco will win (votes: 16 - 23.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 11.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 54% โ 76.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Bayer was already of knockout phase, has a chance of round of 16 (50%), has a chance of qtrs (29%), has a small chance of semis (15%), has a small chance of final (7%), has a very small chance of win league (3%), has currently - , has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd.
Monaco was already of knockout phase, has a chance of round of 16 (50%), has a chance of qtrs (27%), has a small chance of semis (13%), has a small chance of final (6%), has a very small chance of win league (3%), has currently - 10, has not chance of 1st, was already of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd.
This event has big quality74, importance61, match rating67. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Bayer is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Monaco is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Bayer will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Bayer: Aranguiz C.
(Calf Injury)
There will not play in Monaco: Vanderson
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Bayer: Bellarabi K.
(Personal Reasons)
Schick P.
(Illness)
There are questionable in Monaco: Sarr M.
(Hip Injury)
Last 4 head-to-head matches Bayer won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Bayer won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.
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