The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bayern Munich 47.6%
Draw 23.1%
Aston Villa 29.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.9%
22.2%
21.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bayern Munich's form might have worsened.
Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aston Villa's recent form is better than expected.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
69.2%
7.7%
23.1%
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Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 44.1% โ 94.3%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3 - over (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -1 - Bayern (2.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern (votes: 4 - 80%). Aston Villa (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Neuer M. (C) 23. Boey S. 3. Kim Min-Jae 4. Tah J. 11. Brown N. 8. Bischof T. 45. Pavlovic A. 27. Laimer K. 22. Ibrahimovic A. 31. Binder T. 35. Cardozo M.
40. Bizot M. (G) 2. Cash M. (C) 3. Lindelof V. 14. Torres P. 22. Maatsen I. 8. Kamara B. 35. Joao Gomes 29. Guessand E. 10. Buendia E. 53. Hemmings G. 39. Madjo B.
Substitutes
48. Assomo B. 30. Chavez F. 47. Della Rovere G. 14. Diaz L. 21. Ito H. 6. Kimmich J. 41. Manuba V. 16. Palhinha J. 32. Pavic F. 38. Podar-Stiube D. (G) 39. Sapoko Ndiaye B. 44. Stanisic J. 26. Ulreich S. (G) 40. Urbig J. (G)
18. Abraham T. 60. Asemota O. (G) 26. Bogarde L. 49. Burrowes B. 71. Carroll T. 74. Lynch L. 5. Mings T. 32. Nedeljkovic K. 45. Rowe T. 42. Wright J. (G)
Coaches
Kompany V.
Emery U.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Cardozo M. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Kim Min-Jae ⚽, Bischof T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Laimer K. ↓, Stanisic J. ↑,
60', Madjo B. ↓, Abraham T. ↑,
60', Kamara B. ↓, Bogarde L. ↑,
63', Kim Min-Jae ↓, Ito H. ↑,
63', Cardozo M. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
63', Pavlovic A. ↓, Palhinha J. ↑,
67', Torres P. ↓, Mings T. ↑,
67', Guessand E. ↓, Lynch L. ↑,
73', 2 - 0, Diaz L. ⚽, Ibrahimovic A. (A),
76', Tah J. ↓, Pavic F. ↑,
77', Brown N. ↓, Assomo B. ↑,
78', Boey S. 🟨,
79', Cash M. ↓, Nedeljkovic K. ↑,
79', Buendia E. ↓, Burrowes B. ↑,
80', Maatsen I. ↓, Rowe T. ↑,
80', Boey S. ↓, Della Rovere G. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Joao Gomes ⚽, Bogarde L. (A),
Preview
Neutral location.
Aston Villa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Bayern may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Aston Villa has had a series of away games.
Bayern will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bayern won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
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Last Results with these Odds
Bayern Munich - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.93%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.