Match Info

Date: 24 September 2020, Thursday


	Bayern Munich		Sevilla

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.5	7
	1.36	5.25	8
	1.36	5.5	8
	1.36	5.6	7
	1.37	5.77	8.24
	1.35	5.25	8
	1.4	5.85	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.34)	5.53 ↓ (5.75)	7.83 ↑ (7.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayern Munich
70.4%

Draw
17.4%

Sevilla
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

16.5%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

9.5%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-29.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bayern Munich that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sevilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89%	3.9%	7.1%

Bayern Munich - Sevilla Predictions

Users Predictions: Bayern Munich will win (138 of 155 users predict this - 89.03%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.11% – 93.95%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Neutral location - Puskás Aréna.

During last matches two teams got success in matches and won.

Bayern could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Sevilla have a series of home games.

In this match Bayern is certain favorite.

In this match Bayern is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bayern won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Bayern won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayern Munich
German Bundesliga
18.09.20	Bayern Munich - Schalke 04	8:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
23.08.20	Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich	0:1 ✺
19.08.20	Lyon - Bayern Munich	0:3 ✺
14.08.20	Barcelona - Bayern Munich	2:8 ✺
08.08.20	Bayern Munich - Chelsea	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWW
- Sevilla FC
Club Friendly
18.09.20	Sevilla - Athletic Bilbao	2:1 ✺
15.09.20	Sevilla - Levante	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
21.08.20	Sevilla - Inter Milan	3:2 ✺
16.08.20	Sevilla - Manchester United	2:1 ✺
11.08.20	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Sevilla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
11.04.18	Bayern Munich - Sevilla	0:0
03.04.18	Sevilla - Bayern Munich	1:2

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