The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sevilla 25.7%
Draw 27.4%
Manchester United 46.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.2%
26.8%
48.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.5%
26%
49.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sevilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
31.5%
16.4%
52.1%
Sevilla - Manchester United Predictions
Users Predictions:
73 users predict this event. Sevilla will win (votes: 23 - 31.5%). Man Utd will win (votes: 38 - 52.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 16.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 40.6% – 63.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-2.
Sevilla has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, a chance of semis (41%), a chance of final (16%), a small chance of win league (6%).
Man Utd has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, a good chance of semis (59%), a chance of final (34%), a chance of win league (19%).
This event has big quality73, very big importance100, big match rating86. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Sevilla is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Man Utd is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently Sevilla have a series of guest games.
Man Utd will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Sevilla: Gueye P.
(Inactive)
Jordan J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Montiel G.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Man Utd: Fernandes B.
(Yellow Cards)
Garnacho A.
(Foot Injury)
Greenwood M.
(Inactive)
Heaton T.
(Ankle Injury)
Martinez Li.
(Leg Injury)
Varane R.
(Muscle Injury)
van de Beek D.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Man Utd: Malacia T.
(Knee Injury)
McTominay S.
(Health problems)
Sabitzer M.
(Groin Injury)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sevilla won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Sevilla won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.