Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 26 October 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Hungary	RTL3
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay


	Bačka Topola		Freiburg

	1	X	2
	6	4.75	1.5
	6.25	4.5	1.49
	6.5	4.75	1.48
	6.6	4.72	1.49
	6.49	4.72	1.49
	6.5	4.75	1.44
	6.95	4.85	1.44
	6.6	4.9	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.49 ↓ (8.05)	4.74 ↓ (5.16)	1.47 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bačka Topola
14.8%

Draw
20.2%

Freiburg
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.8%

18.4%

69.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.7%

18.3%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bačka Topola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bačka Topola than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Freiburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.5%	0%	81.5%

Bačka Topola - Freiburg Predictions

Users Predictions: Freiburg will win (22 of 27 users predict this - 81.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.83% – 96.13%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ilic V. (G) 29. Cvetkovic M. 17. Antonic G. (C) 4. Calusic J. 30. Petrovic N. 7. Radin M. 18. Stojic N. 35. Djakovac I. 37. Vulic M. 8. Jovanovic S. 97. Rakonjac M.	1. Atubolu N. (G) 28. Ginter M. 3. Lienhart P. 5. Gulde M. 42. Doan R. 8. Eggestein M. 27. Hofler N. 7. Weisshaupt N. 22. Sallai R. 26. Philipp M. 32. Grifo V. (C)
Substitutes
32. Cirkovic A. 25. Djordjevic M. 23. Jorgic N. (G) 44. Krstic V. 21. Kuveljic N. 9. Milovanovic U. 10. Mirchevski M. 27. Pantovic M. 1. Simic N. (G) 88. Sos B. 14. Stanic P. 77. Vlalukin J.	20. Adamu J. 38. Gregoritsch M. 9. Holer L. 17. Kubler L. 33. Makengo J. 21. Muller F. (G) 34. Rohl M. 4. Schmidt K. 25. Sildillia K. 31. Uphoff B. (G)
Coaches
Lazetic Z.	Streich C.

Preview

Bačka Topola is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Freiburg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Freiburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Freiburg is certain favorite.

There will not play in Freiburg: Gunter C. (Elbow Injury) Keitel Y. (Groin Injury) Kyereh D. (Knee Injury) Rosenfelder M. (Tendon Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSC Bačka Topola
Serbian Superliga
21.10.23	Voždovac - Bačka Topola	1:1 ✺
Serbian Cup
18.10.23	Smederevo - Bačka Topola	2:1 penalties ✺
Serbian Superliga
08.10.23	Bačka Topola - Spartak Subotica	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
05.10.23	Bačka Topola - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:2 ✺
Serbian Superliga
30.09.23	Mladost Lučani - Bačka Topola	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLLTT
- SC Freiburg
German Bundesliga
21.10.23	Freiburg - Bochum	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	Bayern Munich - Freiburg	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
05.10.23	Freiburg - West Ham United	1:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
01.10.23	Freiburg - Augsburg	2:0 ✺
24.09.23	Eintracht Frankfurt - Freiburg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLWT

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