Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 7 March 2024, Thursday

Location: Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg)

Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	RTL
Hungary	RTL3
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV4
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Freiburg		West Ham United

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.25	2.5
	2.8	3.2	2.55
	2.92	3.3	2.55	Watch
	2.99	3.2	2.61
	2.99	3.17	2.61
	2.7	3.3	2.6
	2.94	3.41	2.62
	2.95	3.15	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.5)	3.25 ↓ (3.5)	2.58 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg
33.2%

Draw
29.6%

West Ham United
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

27.2%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

28.3%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

West Ham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Freiburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Ham United than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	42.3%	34.6%

Freiburg - West Ham United Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). West Ham will win (votes: 9 - 34.6%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 42.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.3% – 61.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Atubolu N. (G) 25. Sildillia K. 28. Ginter M. 5. Gulde M. 30. Gunter C. (C) 27. Hofler N. 42. Doan R. 8. Eggestein M. 9. Holer L. 32. Grifo V. 22. Sallai R.	1. Fabianski L. (G) 5. Coufal V. 15. Mavropanos K. 4. Zouma K. (C) 33. Emerson 19. Alvarez E. 7. Ward-Prowse J. 28. Soucek T. 10. Paqueta L. 20. Bowen J. 14. Kudus M.
Substitutes
20. Adamu J. 38. Gregoritsch M. 14. Keitel Y. 17. Kubler L. 33. Makengo J. 21. Muller F. (G) 23. Muslija F. 26. Philipp M. 34. Rohl M. 6. Szalai At. 31. Uphoff B. (G) 7. Weisshaupt N.	49. Anang J. (G) 9. Antonio M. 23. Areola A. (G) 42. Casey K. 3. Cresswell A. 40. Earthy G. 18. Ings D. 2. Johnson B. 45. Mubama D. 21. Ogbonna A. 61. Orford L. 11. Phillips K.
Coaches
Streich C.	Moyes D.

Preview

1st leg.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Freiburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Knee Injury) Rosenfelder M. (Tendon Injury) Schmidt K. (Abdominal strain)

There will not play in West Ham: Cornet M. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Freiburg: Kubler L. (Hip Injury) Lienhart P. (Groin Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Freiburg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Freiburg
German Bundesliga
01.03.24	Freiburg - Bayern Munich	2:2 ✺
25.02.24	Augsburg - Freiburg	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.02.24	Freiburg - Lens	3:2 ET ✺
German Bundesliga
18.02.24	Freiburg - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.02.24	Lens - Freiburg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TLWTT
- West Ham United
English Premier League
02.03.24	Everton - West Ham United	1:3 ✺
26.02.24	West Ham United - Brentford	4:2 ✺
17.02.24	Nottingham Forest - West Ham United	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	West Ham United - Arsenal	0:6 ✺
04.02.24	Manchester United - West Ham United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
14.12.23	West Ham United - Freiburg	2:0
05.10.23	Freiburg - West Ham United	1:2

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