Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification - Final

Date: 29 August 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tupras Stadium (Istanbul) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Petrescu R. M. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	15:00	Canal GOAT
Croatia	20:00	SportKlub 3
Slovenia	20:00	SportKlub 3
Switzerland	20:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, RSI La 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	21:00	Exxen


	Beşiktaş		Lugano

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.5	6.25	Watch
	1.47	4.6	6
	1.47	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.45	4.73	6.98
	1.47	4.73	6.99	Watch
	1.36	4.6	6.5
	1.43	5	6.55	Watch
	1.47	4.5	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.4)	4.65 ↑ (4)	6.53 ↓ (6.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beşiktaş
65.2%

Draw
20.3%

Lugano
14.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.2%

22.5%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

21.3%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beşiktaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	3%	6.1%

Beşiktaş - Lugano Predictions

Users Predictions: Beşiktaş will win (30 of 33 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Gunok M. (C) 2. Svensson J. 3. Gabriel Paulista 53. Topcu E. 26. Masuaku A. 28. Al Musrati 83. Fernandes G. 7. Rashica M. 27. Rafa Silva 9. Kilicsoy S. 17. Immobile C.	1. Saipi A. (G) 46. Zanotti M. 6. Papadopoulos A. 22. El Wafi A. 23. Valenzuela M. 29. Belhadj M. 8. Grgic A. 25. Bislimi U. 11. Steffen R. (C) 9. Vladi S. 31. Aliseda I.
Substitutes
4. Bulut O. 6. Colley O. 30. Destanoglu E. (G) 91. Hekimoglu M. 77. Keles C. 23. Muci E. 73. Ndour C. 5. Sanuc T. 79. Terzi E. 21. Tiknaz D. E. 8. Ucan S. 22. Zaynutdinov B.	10. Bottani M. 2. Brault-Guillard Z. 21. Cimignani Y. 27. Dos Santos D. 20. Doumbia O. 7. Macek R. 17. Mai L. 26. Marques M. 99. Mina D. (G) 58. Osigwe S. (G) 93. Przybylko K.
Coaches
van Bronckhorst G.	Croci-Torti M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Valenzuela M. 🟨,
7', 1 - 0, Immobile C. ⚽, Masuaku A. (A),
28', Fernandes G. 🟨,
42', Kilicsoy S. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', El Wafi A. ↓, Mai L. ↑,
46', Belhadj M. ↓, Doumbia O. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Vladi S. ⚽, Aliseda I. (A),
61', Topcu E. 🟨,
65', 2 - 1, Fernandes G. ⚽, Rafa Silva (A),
66', Kilicsoy S. ↓, Muci E. ↑,
70', 3 - 1, Rafa Silva ⚽, Rashica M. (A),
71', Grgic A. ↓, Bottani M. ↑,
71', 4 - 1, Immobile C. ⚽, Fernandes G. (A),
77', Vladi S. ↓, Cimignani Y. ↑,
77', Zanotti M. ↓, Brault-Guillard Z. ↑,
77', Immobile C. ↓, Hekimoglu M. ↑,
77', Rashica M. ↓, Ndour C. ↑,
87', Rafa Silva ↓, Keles C. ↑,
87', Fernandes G. ↓, Ucan S. ↑,
90+1', Bislimi U. 🟨,
90+2', 5 - 1, Ucan S. ⚽, Muci E. (A),

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 3-3.

Beşiktaş in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Lugano is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lugano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Beşiktaş is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Beşiktaş to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Beşiktaş won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Beşiktaş won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beşiktaş
UEFA Europa League
22.08.24	Lugano - Beşiktaş	3:3 ✺
Turkish Super League
18.08.24	Beşiktaş - Antalyaspor	4:2 ✺
11.08.24	Samsunspor - Beşiktaş	0:2 ✺
Turkish Super Cup
03.08.24	Galatasaray - Beşiktaş	0:5 ✺
Club Friendly
20.07.24	Beşiktaş - Grazer AK	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWWWW
- FC Lugano
UEFA Europa League
22.08.24	Lugano - Beşiktaş	3:3 ✺
Swiss Cup
18.08.24	Brühl - Lugano	1:7 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.08.24	Lugano - Partizan	2:2 ET ✺
Swiss Super League
11.08.24	Lugano - Luzern	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.08.24	Partizan - Lugano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
22.08.24	Lugano - Beşiktaş	3:3
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.12.23	Lugano - Beşiktaş	0:2
05.10.23	Beşiktaş - Lugano	2:3

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