Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 16

Date: 6 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Benfica Campus (Seixal)

Referee: Lima R. (Por)


	Benfica B		Belenenses

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.6	5.5
	1.68	3.4	4.5
	1.68	3.6	5	Watch
	1.72	3.84	5.14
	1.72	3.84	5.14
	1.6	3.6	4.5
	1.68	3.72	4.77
	1.64	3.45	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.86)	3.63 ↑ (3.51)	4.94 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica B
55.6%

Draw
25.6%

Belenenses
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

26.2%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25.8%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benfica B's performance.

Belenenses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Belenenses might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benfica B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Belenenses could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Benfica B - Belenenses Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Benfica B will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Belenenses will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Kokubo L. (G) 71. Tome J. 62. Lacroix L. 76. Gustavo Marques 48. Rodrigues R. (C) 84. Rego J. 60. Felix N. 86. Prioste D. 80. Santos P. 88. Caue 77. Sousa G.	14. Oliveira G. (G) 3. Fabao 34. Ilori T. 37. Akas C. 25. Carvalho P. 8. Gomes Tavares D. 19. Valente D. (C) 16. Chapi 10. Tavares M. 21. Pina R. 9. Matos R.
Substitutes
79. Felix H. 74. Jevsenak Z. 78. Kiko 83. Luis R. 14. Muller J. 57. Precatado J. 98. Ribeiro R. (G) 82. Spencer D. 89. Varela G.	18. Attard C. 33. Correia R. 28. Cruz H. 22. Grilo D. (G) 48. Manso T. 20. Mica 17. Moninhas T. 11. Sambu M. 99. Silva M.
Coaches
Verissimo N.	Faisca V.

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Belenenses could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Benfica B is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benfica B
Portuguese Liga 2
30.12.23	Paços de Ferreira - Benfica B	2:2 ✺
17.12.23	Benfica B - Tondela	1:1 ✺
09.12.23	Benfica B - Nacional	2:1 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
06.12.23	Crystal Palace U21 - Benfica B	2:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
02.12.23	AVS - Benfica B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTWLL
- Os Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 2
22.12.23	Belenenses - Santa Clara	0:0 ✺
16.12.23	Nacional - Belenenses	5:0 ✺
10.12.23	Belenenses - Oliveirense	1:0 ✺
01.12.23	Académico de Viseu - Belenenses	3:1 ✺
19.11.23	Belenenses - Penafiel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TLWLW

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