Match Info

Date: 15 November 2021, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Belgrano		Quilmes

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.7	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.45
	2.7	2.75	2.7
	2.8	2.8	2.6
	2.89	2.91	2.78
	2.75	2.8	2.62
	2.74	2.93	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (3.04)	2.87 ↓ (3)	2.64 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belgrano
33%

Draw
32.1%

Quilmes
34.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.8%

30.2%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

24.3%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Quilmes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Belgrano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.1%	57.1%	10.7%

Belgrano - Quilmes Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Belgrano will win (votes: 9 - 32.1%). Quilmes will win (votes: 3 - 10.7%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.8% – 75.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Quilmes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Belgrano won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Belgrano won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.11.21	Agropecuario Argentino - Belgrano	1:2 ✺
31.10.21	Belgrano - Deportivo Maipú	1:0 ✺
25.10.21	Temperley - Belgrano	3:2 ✺
18.10.21	Belgrano - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:1 ✺
12.10.21	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Belgrano	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLTW
- Quilmes AC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.11.21	Quilmes - San Martín de Tucumán	0:0 ✺
31.10.21	Almirante Brown - Quilmes	0:0 ✺
24.10.21	Quilmes - Nueva Chicago	3:1 ✺
17.10.21	Chacarita Juniors - Quilmes	1:3 ✺
09.10.21	Quilmes - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.07.21	Quilmes - Belgrano	2:3
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.10.16	Belgrano - Quilmes	0:0
30.04.16	Belgrano - Quilmes	2:2
13.04.15	Belgrano - Quilmes	2:1
11.10.14	Belgrano - Quilmes	1:1
01.04.14	Quilmes - Belgrano	1:0
12.10.13	Belgrano - Quilmes	0:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.11.26	Belgrano - Barracas Central	✺
- Quilmes AC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.11.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Quilmes	✺

Belgrano - Quilmes