Match Info

URUGUAY: SEGUNDA DIVISION - ROUND 6

Date: 12 June 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio José Nasazzi (Montevideo)


	Bella Vista		Rentistas

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	1.85
	3.3	3.2	2.1
	3.46	3.57	1.89
	3.5	3.3	1.91
	4.05	3.64	1.77	Watch
	3.5	3.35	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↓ (3.75)	3.39 ↑ (3.27)	1.91 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bella Vista
25.5%

Draw
26.8%

Rentistas
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

27.6%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

26.6%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bella Vista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Rentistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bella Vista than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	10%	70%

Bella Vista - Rentistas Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Bella Vista will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Rentistas will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rentistas: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 8).

Bella Vista has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Rentistas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rentistas will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Rentistas to win the game is with odds 1.87.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bella Vista won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Bella Vista won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Bella Vista
Uruguayan Segunda Division
04.06.23	Miramar Misiones - Bella Vista	4:0 ✺
28.05.23	Bella Vista - Progreso	0:1 ✺
21.05.23	Uruguay Montevideo - Bella Vista	1:0 ✺
14.05.23	Bella Vista - Albion Montevideo	1:5 ✺
06.05.23	Sud América - Bella Vista	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CA Rentistas
Uruguayan Segunda Division
03.06.23	Rentistas - Tacuarembó	2:0 ✺
27.05.23	Rentistas - Miramar Misiones	2:0 ✺
21.05.23	Progreso - Rentistas	3:1 ✺
13.05.23	Rentistas - Uruguay Montevideo	3:3 ✺
06.05.23	Albion Montevideo - Rentistas	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
23.04.23	Rentistas - Bella Vista	2:0
15.09.19	Bella Vista - Rentistas	1:0
Uruguayan Primera Division
01.04.12	Bella Vista - Rentistas	N/A

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