Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 15

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ciro Vigorito (Benevento)

Referee: Baroni N. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	Nova Sports
Italy	Sky Sport


	Benevento		Palermo

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	4.33	Watch
	1.9	3.25	4.1
	1.87	3.3	4.4
	1.9	3.2	4.1
	1.93	3.38	4.61
	1.91	3.2	4.2
	1.9	3.3	4.33	Watch
	1.93	3.15	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.01)	3.26 ↓ (3.28)	4.3 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benevento
49.4%

Draw
28.8%

Palermo
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

28.5%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

30.2%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	14.7%	26.5%

Benevento - Palermo Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Benevento will win (votes: 20 - 58.8%). Palermo will win (votes: 9 - 26.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 14.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benevento: 42.3% – 75.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out)).

Benevento has the most likely position - 11 (7.1%), has project points - 50, has currently - 15, has a chance of relegated (16%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (29%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Palermo has the most likely position - 20 (16.57%), has project points - 40, has currently - 15, has a good chance of relegated (55%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 29, importance 42, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Benevento will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Benevento won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Benevento won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie B
27.11.22	Reggina - Benevento	2:2 ✺
12.11.22	SPAL - Benevento	1:2 ✺
05.11.22	Benevento - Bari	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Benevento - Pisa	0:0 ✺
22.10.22	Como - Benevento	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWTTL
- U.S. Città di Palermo
Italian Serie B
27.11.22	Palermo - Venezia	0:1 ✺
12.11.22	Nuova Cosenza - Palermo	3:2 ✺
05.11.22	Palermo - Parma	1:0 ✺
29.10.22	Modena - Palermo	0:2 ✺
23.10.22	Palermo - Cittadella	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
14.04.19	Benevento - Palermo	1:2
30.11.18	Palermo - Benevento	0:0

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