Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 12

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadio Ciro Vigorito (Benevento)

Referee: Camplone G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Benevento		Bari

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.2	2.55	Watch
	2.85	3.1	2.5
	3.05	3	2.45
	2.9	2.95	2.5
	3.05	3.1	2.66
	2.62	3.1	2.7
	2.84	3.2	2.53	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.21)	3.09 ↓ (3.22)	2.55 ↓ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Benevento
32.6%

Draw
30.4%

Bari
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

29.9%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

30%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benevento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Benevento's form might have worsened.

Bari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bari's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benevento, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bari than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bari, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.5%	26.1%	30.4%

Benevento - Bari Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Benevento will win (votes: 10 - 43.5%). Bari will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 26.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benevento: 23.2% – 63.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Benevento has the most likely position - 14 (7.68%), has project points - 48, has currently - 10, has a chance of relegated (20%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (21%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Bari has the most likely position - 5 (7.99%), has project points - 57, has currently - 19, has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (46%), has a chance of promoted (17%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

This event has quality 35, small importance 30, match rating 33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

The competitors look crappy now.

Bari could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Benevento won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Benevento won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie B
29.10.22	Benevento - Pisa	0:0 ✺
22.10.22	Como - Benevento	2:1 ✺
15.10.22	Benevento - Ternana	2:3 ✺
09.10.22	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Benevento	1:1 ✺
02.10.22	Benevento - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLTT
- AS Bari
Italian Serie B
28.10.22	Bari - Ternana	0:0 ✺
22.10.22	Frosinone - Bari	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
19.10.22	Parma - Bari	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie B
15.10.22	Bari - Ascoli	0:2 ✺
08.10.22	Venezia - Bari	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
24.02.17	Benevento - Bari	3:4
24.09.16	Bari - Benevento	0:4

Upcoming Matches