Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 13

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Paolo Mazza (Ferrara) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Meraviglia F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	14:00	Sky Sport


	SPAL		Benevento

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	3	Watch
	2.5	3	2.9
	2.5	3	3
	2.47	2.95	2.95
	2.62	3.1	3.09
	2.45	3.1	2.9
	2.44	3.24	2.92	Watch
	2.47	3.05	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.54)	3.06 ↑ (2.99)	2.96 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

SPAL
37.6%

Draw
30.7%

Benevento
31.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.6%

31.1%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

30.4%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Benevento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.9%	38.9%	22.2%

SPAL - Benevento Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. SPAL will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Benevento will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for SPAL: 16.4% – 61.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out)).

SPAL has the most likely position - 12 (7.26%), has project points - 50, has currently - 15, has a small chance of relegated (14%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (29%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Benevento has the most likely position - 15 (8.05%), has project points - 47, has currently - 11, has a chance of relegated (22%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (20%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 34, small importance 27, small match rating 30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches SPAL won 3.

Recent matches SPAL is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Benevento is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches SPAL won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-8.

Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie B
05.11.22	Ternana - SPAL	0:0 ✺
29.10.22	SPAL - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
22.10.22	SPAL - Nuova Cosenza	5:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
18.10.22	Genoa - SPAL	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie B
15.10.22	Cittadella - SPAL	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTWLT
- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie B
05.11.22	Benevento - Bari	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Benevento - Pisa	0:0 ✺
22.10.22	Como - Benevento	2:1 ✺
15.10.22	Benevento - Ternana	2:3 ✺
09.10.22	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Benevento	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
06.05.22	Benevento - SPAL	1:2
16.01.22	SPAL - Benevento	1:1
Coppa Italia
14.08.21	Benevento - SPAL	2:1 ET
Italian Serie A
06.05.18	SPAL - Benevento	2:0
17.12.17	Benevento - SPAL	1:2
Italian Serie B
21.01.17	SPAL - Benevento	2:0
27.08.16	Benevento - SPAL	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie B
31.10.26	Cremonese - Benevento	✺

SPAL - Benevento