The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Benevento 42.8%
Draw 29.5%
Monza 27.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.1%
29.1%
25.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.1%
19.4%
38.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benevento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-12.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benevento that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
36%
56%
8%
Benevento - Monza Predictions
Users Predictions:
75 users predict this event. Benevento will win (votes: 27 - 36%). Monza will win (votes: 6 - 8%). It will Tie (votes: 42 - 56%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 44.8% – 67.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Benevento has the most likely position - 4 (11.86%), has project points - 64, has currently - 31, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (62%), has a chance of promoted (30%), has a small chance of win league (9%).
Monza has the most likely position - 1 (15.79%), has project points - 66, has currently - 31, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (58%), has a chance of promoted (43%), has a chance of win league (16%).
Benevento is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Monza is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Benevento could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Benevento will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Benevento won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Benevento won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.
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