The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ascoli 35.8%
Draw 30.3%
Monza 33.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.6%
29.1%
33.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.2%
21.8%
44.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ascoli that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ascoli - Monza Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Ascoli has the most likely position - 14 (8.06%), has project points - 53, has currently - 21, has a small chance of relegated (7%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (31%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Monza has the most likely position - 2 (10.16%), has project points - 61, has currently - 21, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (51%), has a chance of promoted (30%), has a small chance of win league (10%).
Recent matches Ascoli is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Monza is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Ascoli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
Watch
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