Match Info

Date: 18 May 2022, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Mario Rigamonti (Brescia)

Referee: Aureliano G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Cyprus	Nova Sports
Greece	Nova Sports
Italy	DAZN Italia
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Brescia		Monza

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3.2	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3.3
	2.3	3.05	3.35
	2.21	3	3.3
	2.3	3.24	3.52
	2.1	3.1	3.7
	2.21	3.22	3.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.29)	3.16 ↑ (3.01)	3.41 ↓ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

Watch this match and Italian Serie B with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Soccer Plus

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Current Win Probability

Brescia
42.6%

Draw
29.8%

Monza
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

31.4%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

31.9%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.2%	22.7%	9.1%

Brescia - Monza Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Brescia will win (votes: 30 - 68.2%). Monza will win (votes: 4 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brescia: 54.4% – 82%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Brescia has the most likely position - 5 (100%), has project points - 66, has currently - 66, has not chance of relegated, was already of prom. playoffs, has a chance of promoted (21%), has not chance of win league.

Monza has the most likely position - 4 (100%), has project points - 67, has currently - 67, has not chance of relegated, was already of prom. playoffs, has a chance of promoted (38%), has not chance of win league.

This event has quality 42, very big importance 100, big match rating 71. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Two teams are playing changeable.

Monza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Brescia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brescia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Brescia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
14.05.22	Brescia - Perugia	3:2 ET ✺
06.05.22	Brescia - Reggina	3:0 ✺
30.04.22	Cittadella - Brescia	1:0 ✺
25.04.22	Brescia - SPAL	1:1 ✺
18.04.22	Monza - Brescia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLTT
- Monza 1912
Italian Serie B
06.05.22	Perugia - Monza	1:0 ✺
30.04.22	Monza - Benevento	3:0 ✺
25.04.22	Frosinone - Monza	4:1 ✺
18.04.22	Monza - Brescia	1:1 ✺
10.04.22	Nuova Cosenza - Monza	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
18.04.22	Monza - Brescia	1:1
05.12.21	Brescia - Monza	0:2
10.05.21	Monza - Brescia	0:2
25.01.21	Brescia - Monza	0:1
Club Friendly
08.09.18	Monza - Brescia	1:2

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