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Current Win Probability
Benevento 16.1%
Draw 21.1%
Roma 62.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16.1%
20.9%
63%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.5%
18.9%
69.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Benevento have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
13.8%
5.5%
80.7%
Benevento - Roma Predictions
Users Predictions:
Roma will win
(88 of 109 users predict this - 80.73%). Confidence interval (95%): 73.33% โ 88.13%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
No spectators.
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion to Champions League (Group Stage)).
Benevento has a small chance of relegated (11%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Roma has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (50%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).
Benevento is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Roma is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Roma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Roma is a favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Benevento won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Benevento won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.