Match Info

Date: 12 February 2021, Friday


	Bologna		Benevento

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	4.2	Watch
	1.85	3.6	4.33
	1.89	3.55	4.2	Watch
	1.87	3.5	4.2
	1.94	3.65	4.26
	1.85	3.5	4.4	Watch
	1.92	3.72	4.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.82)	3.59 ↑ (3.54)	4.26 ↓ (4.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bologna
50.9%

Draw
26.7%

Benevento
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

26.9%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

21.6%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bologna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benevento, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.2%	12.6%	10.2%

Bologna - Benevento Predictions

Users Predictions: 127 users predict this event. Bologna will win (votes: 98 - 77.2%). Benevento will win (votes: 13 - 10.2%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 12.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bologna: 69.9% – 84.5%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 14).

Bologna has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Benevento has a small chance of relegated (13%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Bologna is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Benevento is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Bologna is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bologna won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Bologna won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bologna FC
Italian Serie A
07.02.21	Parma - Bologna	0:3 ✺
30.01.21	Bologna - Milan	1:2 ✺
24.01.21	Juventus - Bologna	2:0 ✺
16.01.21	Bologna - Verona	1:0 ✺
09.01.21	Genoa - Bologna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLWL
- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie A
07.02.21	Benevento - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
30.01.21	Inter Milan - Benevento	4:0 ✺
22.01.21	Benevento - Torino	2:2 ✺
17.01.21	Crotone - Benevento	4:1 ✺
09.01.21	Benevento - Atalanta	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
04.10.20	Benevento - Bologna	1:0
21.01.18	Bologna - Benevento	3:0
26.08.17	Benevento - Bologna	0:1

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