Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: City Ground (Nottingham)

Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Nottingham Forest		Chelsea

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	2.25
	3.65	3.8	1.98
	3.12	3.51	2.37
	3.34	2.77	2.48	Watch
	3.82	3.82	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↓ (3.6)	3.48 ↓ (3.84)	2.22 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nottingham Forest
28.5%

Draw
27.9%

Chelsea
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

24.9%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

25.2%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.8%	9.8%	80.4%

Nottingham Forest - Chelsea Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Nottingham (1.65) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Chelsea (2.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Chelsea (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Nottingham (2.29) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Chelsea will win (114 of 140 users predict this - 81.43%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.99% – 87.87%. The data is statistically significant.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chelsea will win (47 of 58 users predict this - 81.03%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 67 Selected Experts predict this event. Nottingham (votes: 12 - 17.9%). Chelsea (votes: 50 - 74.6%). Tie (votes: 5 - 7.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Sels M. (G) 3. Williams N. 31. Milenkovic N. 5. Murillo 4. Morato 35. Zinchenko O. 12. Douglas Luiz 6. Sangare I. 8. Anderson E. 10. Gibbs-White M. (C) 9. Awoniyi T.	1. Sanchez R. (G) 27. Gusto M. 34. Acheampong J. 23. Chalobah T. 3. Cucurella M. 24. James R. (C) 45. Lavia R. 7. Neto P. 17. Andrey Santos 49. Garnacho A. 20. Joao Pedro
Substitutes
23. Cunha 16. Dominguez N. 7. Hudson-Odoi C. 19. Igor Jesus 13. John Victor (G) 14. Ndoye D. 37. Savona N. 11. Wood Ch. 22. Yates R.	4. Adarabioyo T. 40. Buonanotte F. 25. Caicedo M. 41. Estêvão 32. George T. 11. Gittens J. 38. Guiu M. 21. Hato J. 12. Jorgensen F. (G)
Coaches
Postecoglou A.	Caballero W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Morato 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Lavia R. ↓, Caicedo M. ↑,
46', Garnacho A. ↓, Gittens J. ↑,
46', Andrey Santos ↓, Guiu M. ↑,
46', Awoniyi T. ↓, Igor Jesus ↑,
49', 0 - 1, Acheampong J. ⚽, Neto P. (A),
52', 0 - 2, Neto P. ⚽, James R. (A),
53', Douglas Luiz ↓, Hudson-Odoi C. ↑,
54', Gusto M. 🟨,
74', Zinchenko O. ↓, Wood Ch. ↑,
74', Murillo ↓, Savona N. ↑,
78', Neto P. ↓, Estêvão ↑,
80', Sangare I. 🟨,
81', Acheampong J. ↓, Adarabioyo T. ↑,
84', 0 - 3, James R. ⚽,
87', Gusto M. 🟨,
89', Estêvão 🟨,
90+4', Sanchez R. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 1.

Nottingham is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Chelsea has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Chelsea might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Nottingham: Aina O. (Hamstring Injury) Douglas Luiz (Hamstring Injury) Zinchenko O. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Chelsea: Colwill L. (Knee Injury) Delap L. (Hamstring Injury) Essugo D. (Thigh Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended) Palmer C. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Nottingham: Wood Ch. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Chelsea: Badiashile B. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Nottingham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nottingham Forest
English Premier League
05.10.25	Newcastle United - Nottingham Forest	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Nottingham Forest - Midtjylland	2:3 ✺
English Premier League
27.09.25	Nottingham Forest - Sunderland	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.09.25	Betis - Nottingham Forest	2:2 ✺
English Premier League
20.09.25	Burnley - Nottingham Forest	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLTT
- Chelsea
English Premier League
04.10.25	Chelsea - Liverpool	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.09.25	Chelsea - Benfica	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
27.09.25	Chelsea - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:3 ✺
English League Cup
23.09.25	Lincoln City - Chelsea	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
20.09.25	Manchester United - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
25.05.25	Nottingham Forest - Chelsea	0:1
06.10.24	Chelsea - Nottingham Forest	1:1
11.05.24	Nottingham Forest - Chelsea	2:3
02.09.23	Chelsea - Nottingham Forest	0:1
13.05.23	Chelsea - Nottingham Forest	2:2
01.01.23	Nottingham Forest - Chelsea	1:1
English FA Cup
05.01.20	Chelsea - Nottingham Forest	2:0

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