Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 7 March 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio da Luz (Lisbon) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport
Brazil	17:00	ESPN 4
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport
Denmark	21:00	TV2 Sport X
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
Netherlands	21:00	ESPN
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Poland	21:00	Viaplay
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Xtra
United Kingdom	20:00	TNT Sports


	Benfica		Glasgow Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.2	5.75
	1.58	4.2	5.5
	1.58	4.5	5.5	Watch
	1.57	4.35	5.8
	1.58	4.34	5.7
	1.55	4.33	5.5
	1.6	4.27	5.85
	1.57	4.4	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.59)	4.32 ↑ (4.18)	5.63 ↑ (5.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
60.8%

Draw
22.2%

Glasgow Rangers
17%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.6%

22.7%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

23.5%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Glasgow Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Glasgow Rangers aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.7%	8.2%	7.1%

Benfica - Glasgow Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: Benfica will win (72 of 85 users predict this - 84.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.06% – 92.36%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trubin A. (G) 6. Bah A. 4. Antonio Silva 30. Otamendi N. (C) 8. Aursnes F. 87. Neves J. 61. Florentino 27. Rafa Silva 7. David Neres 9. Cabral A. 11. Di Maria A.	1. Butland J. (G) 2. Tavernier J. (C) 6. Goldson C. 5. Souttar J. 3. Yilmaz R. 42. Diomande M. 4. Lundstram J. 21. Sterling D. 11. Lawrence T. 7. Silva F. 9. Dessers C.
Substitutes
44. Araujo T. 3. Carreras A. 75. Gomes A. (G) 47. Gouveia T. 20. Joao Mario 10. Kokcu O. 36. Marcos Leonardo 5. Morato 32. Rollheiser B. 24. Soares S. (G) 82. Spencer D. 19. Tengstedt C.	31. Barisic B. 26. Davies B. 47. Fraser R. 8. Jack R. 38. King L. 45. McCausland R. 28. McCrorie R. (G) 93. McKinnon C. 43. Raskin N. 25. Roofe K. 32. Wright K. (G) 46. Yfeko J.
Coaches
Schmidt R.	Clement P.

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Benfica is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rangers is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rangers could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Benfica is a favorite.

There will not play in Benfica: Bernat J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Rangers: Cantwell T. (Muscle Injury) Danilo (Knee Injury) Dowell K. (Injury) Sima A. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Rangers: Cortes O. (Muscle Injury) Matondo R. (Muscle Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Benfica won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Benfica won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SL Benfica
Liga Portugal
03.03.24	Porto - Benfica	5:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
29.02.24	Sporting Lisbon - Benfica	2:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
25.02.24	Benfica - Portimonense	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.02.24	Toulouse - Benfica	0:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
18.02.24	Benfica - Vizela	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWTW
- Glasgow Rangers
Scottish Premier League
02.03.24	Glasgow Rangers - Motherwell	1:2 ✺
28.02.24	Kilmarnock - Glasgow Rangers	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Glasgow Rangers - Hearts	5:0 ✺
18.02.24	St. Johnstone - Glasgow Rangers	0:3 ✺
14.02.24	Glasgow Rangers - Ross County	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
26.11.20	Glasgow Rangers - Benfica	2:2
05.11.20	Benfica - Glasgow Rangers	3:3

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