Match Info

Date: 18 August 2021, Wednesday


	Benfica		PSV Eindhoven

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.6
	2.15	3.3	3.3
	2.17	3.35	3.5
	2.08	3.25	3.4
	2.16	3.48	3.59
	2.1	3.2	3.2
	2.1	3.34	3.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.17)	3.32 ↓ (3.4)	3.46 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
44.5%

Draw
28.4%

PSV Eindhoven
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

27.7%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

18.8%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

PSV Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benfica that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that PSV Eindhoven could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.6%	23.6%	13.8%

Benfica - PSV Eindhoven Predictions

Users Predictions: 123 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 77 - 62.6%). PSV will win (votes: 17 - 13.8%). It will Tie (votes: 29 - 23.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 54% – 71.2%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Two teams got a triumph in the latest matches.

PSV could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently PSV have a series of guest games.

Benfica will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SL Benfica
Liga Portugal
14.08.21	Benfica - Arouca	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.08.21	Benfica - Spartak Moscow	2:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
07.08.21	Moreirense - Benfica	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.08.21	Spartak Moscow - Benfica	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.21	Benfica - Olympique Marseille	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWT
- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
14.08.21	Heracles Almelo - PSV Eindhoven	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.08.21	Midtjylland - PSV Eindhoven	0:1 ✺
Dutch Super Cup
07.08.21	Ajax - PSV Eindhoven	0:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
03.08.21	PSV Eindhoven - Midtjylland	3:0 ✺
28.07.21	Galatasaray - PSV Eindhoven	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
22.07.12	PSV Eindhoven - Benfica	N/A

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