Match Info
Division Intermedia - Round 27Date: 6 October 2026, TuesdayLocation: Estadio Arsenio Erico (Asunción)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Paraguay | Tigo Sports+ |
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Benjamín Aceval |
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Independiente Asuncion |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.25 |
3.40 |
2.60 |
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2.10 |
3.30 |
2.80 |
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2.33 |
3.60 |
2.67 |
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2.35 |
3.66 |
2.7 |
 Watch |
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2.25 |
3.20 |
2.60 |
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2.39 |
3.74 |
2.60 |
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2.29 |
3.35 |
2.60 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↑
(2.25) |
3.46 ↑
(3.4) |
2.65 ↓
(2.84) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Benjamín Aceval
39.7% | Draw
26.1% | Independiente Asuncion
34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benjamín Aceval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Independiente Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benjamín Aceval than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Asuncion than the current prediction. (-2.5%)Benjamín Aceval - Independiente Asuncion Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 18', 0 - 1, Burgos C. ⚽,
- 21', 1 - 1, Aquino J. ⚽,
- 45+1', 1 - 2, Dietze S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', 2 - 2, Lopez S. ⚽,
- 74', 2 - 3, Dramane D. ⚽,
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 4th and 8th).Recent results have been tough for Benjamín Aceval (last 5 matches: 1 win).Independiente FBC is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).Benjamín Aceval could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match. A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Benjamín Aceval holding a narrow advantage.In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Benjamín Aceval has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Benjamin Aceval | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 42:35 | 7 | 42 |
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| 8 | Independiente FBC | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 40:35 | 5 | 40 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Independiente Asuncion - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.28%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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